Incumbent Tina Kotek holds a strong position in the Oregon gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and typical advantages for sitting governors seeking re-election. Recent polling trends and primary outcomes have reinforced trader consensus around her lead, with limited shifts from major campaign events or endorsements in the past month. Christine Drazan faces structural challenges as the Republican nominee in a state where Democrats have won the governorship in every cycle since 1986, though turnout patterns in key regions and any late-cycle economic or policy developments could still influence margins. The current implied probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing these baseline factors and historical voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Орегона
Победитель выборов губернатора Орегона
$42,107 Объем
$42,107 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Тина Котек (Д)
87%
Кристин Дразан (Р)
14%
$42,107 Объем
$42,107 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Тина Котек (Д)
$23,423 Объем
87%
Кристин Дразан (Р)
$18,684 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Tina Kotek holds a strong position in the Oregon gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and typical advantages for sitting governors seeking re-election. Recent polling trends and primary outcomes have reinforced trader consensus around her lead, with limited shifts from major campaign events or endorsements in the past month. Christine Drazan faces structural challenges as the Republican nominee in a state where Democrats have won the governorship in every cycle since 1986, though turnout patterns in key regions and any late-cycle economic or policy developments could still influence margins. The current implied probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing these baseline factors and historical voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Объем
$42,107Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Tina Kotek holds a strong position in the Oregon gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and typical advantages for sitting governors seeking re-election. Recent polling trends and primary outcomes have reinforced trader consensus around her lead, with limited shifts from major campaign events or endorsements in the past month. Christine Drazan faces structural challenges as the Republican nominee in a state where Democrats have won the governorship in every cycle since 1986, though turnout patterns in key regions and any late-cycle economic or policy developments could still influence margins. The current implied probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing these baseline factors and historical voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$42,107Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Tina Kotek holds a strong position in the Oregon gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, her established name recognition, and typical advantages for sitting governors seeking re-election. Recent polling trends and primary outcomes have reinforced trader consensus around her lead, with limited shifts from major campaign events or endorsements in the past month. Christine Drazan faces structural challenges as the Republican nominee in a state where Democrats have won the governorship in every cycle since 1986, though turnout patterns in key regions and any late-cycle economic or policy developments could still influence margins. The current implied probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds assessing these baseline factors and historical voting patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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