Cory Booker's commanding position in the 2026 New Jersey Senate race stems from his status as a three-term Democratic incumbent in a state that has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 1972. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following the June primaries, where Booker ran unopposed while Justin Murphy secured the Republican nomination in a low-turnout, four-way field. Booker's substantial fundraising edge and broad name recognition further reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% implied probability. A closely divided national environment or late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant polling shift could still narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns make such outcomes unlikely before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Джерси
Победитель выборов в Сенат Нью-Джерси
$20,528 Объем
$20,528 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Кори Букер (Д)
97%
Джастин Мерфи (Р)
4%
$20,528 Объем
$20,528 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Кори Букер (Д)
$10,834 Объем
97%
Джастин Мерфи (Р)
$9,694 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Cory Booker's commanding position in the 2026 New Jersey Senate race stems from his status as a three-term Democratic incumbent in a state that has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 1972. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following the June primaries, where Booker ran unopposed while Justin Murphy secured the Republican nomination in a low-turnout, four-way field. Booker's substantial fundraising edge and broad name recognition further reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% implied probability. A closely divided national environment or late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant polling shift could still narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns make such outcomes unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$20,528Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Cory Booker's commanding position in the 2026 New Jersey Senate race stems from his status as a three-term Democratic incumbent in a state that has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 1972. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following the June primaries, where Booker ran unopposed while Justin Murphy secured the Republican nomination in a low-turnout, four-way field. Booker's substantial fundraising edge and broad name recognition further reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% implied probability. A closely divided national environment or late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant polling shift could still narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns make such outcomes unlikely before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$20,528Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Cory Booker's commanding position in the 2026 New Jersey Senate race stems from his status as a three-term Democratic incumbent in a state that has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 1972. All major forecasting outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic following the June primaries, where Booker ran unopposed while Justin Murphy secured the Republican nomination in a low-turnout, four-way field. Booker's substantial fundraising edge and broad name recognition further reinforce trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% implied probability. A closely divided national environment or late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or significant polling shift could still narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns make such outcomes unlikely before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы