Nevada’s 2026 gubernatorial contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford remains highly competitive, with trader pricing reflecting narrow polling margins and split outcomes across victory buckets. Recent surveys show Lombardo holding a modest average lead of roughly four points, though multiple Democratic- and Republican-affiliated polls have produced ties or single-digit spreads within sampling error. Both nominees secured their primaries comfortably in June, allowing full general-election focus on economic performance, job growth, cost-of-living pressures, and the sizable nonpartisan voter bloc. With roughly eight weeks until November 3 and no decisive late-cycle events yet shifting momentum, the market’s even split between leading options and dispersed margin probabilities underscores the race’s sensitivity to turnout patterns and final undecided voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМаржа победы на выборах губернатора Невады
Маржа победы на выборах губернатора Невады
Республиканец 3-6% 16.7%
Республиканец 0-3% 15%
Республиканец 6-9% 14%
Демократ 0-3% 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец 12%+
2%
Республиканец 9-12%
12%
Республиканец 6-9%
14%
Республиканец 3-6%
17%
Республиканец 0-3%
15%
Демократ 0-3%
14%
Демократ 3-6%
8%
Демократ 6-9%
8%
Демократ 9-12%
3%
Демократ 12%+
2%
Республиканец 3-6% 16.7%
Республиканец 0-3% 15%
Республиканец 6-9% 14%
Демократ 0-3% 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец 12%+
$263 Объем
2%
Республиканец 9-12%
$358 Объем
12%
Республиканец 6-9%
$1,999 Объем
14%
Республиканец 3-6%
$978 Объем
17%
Республиканец 0-3%
$923 Объем
15%
Демократ 0-3%
$265 Объем
14%
Демократ 3-6%
$589 Объем
8%
Демократ 6-9%
$219 Объем
8%
Демократ 9-12%
$273 Объем
3%
Демократ 12%+
$280 Объем
2%
The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nevada’s 2026 gubernatorial contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford remains highly competitive, with trader pricing reflecting narrow polling margins and split outcomes across victory buckets. Recent surveys show Lombardo holding a modest average lead of roughly four points, though multiple Democratic- and Republican-affiliated polls have produced ties or single-digit spreads within sampling error. Both nominees secured their primaries comfortably in June, allowing full general-election focus on economic performance, job growth, cost-of-living pressures, and the sizable nonpartisan voter bloc. With roughly eight weeks until November 3 and no decisive late-cycle events yet shifting momentum, the market’s even split between leading options and dispersed margin probabilities underscores the race’s sensitivity to turnout patterns and final undecided voters.
The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Объем
$6,145Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 4:18 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nevada’s 2026 gubernatorial contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford remains highly competitive, with trader pricing reflecting narrow polling margins and split outcomes across victory buckets. Recent surveys show Lombardo holding a modest average lead of roughly four points, though multiple Democratic- and Republican-affiliated polls have produced ties or single-digit spreads within sampling error. Both nominees secured their primaries comfortably in June, allowing full general-election focus on economic performance, job growth, cost-of-living pressures, and the sizable nonpartisan voter bloc. With roughly eight weeks until November 3 and no decisive late-cycle events yet shifting momentum, the market’s even split between leading options and dispersed margin probabilities underscores the race’s sensitivity to turnout patterns and final undecided voters.
The 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$6,145Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 5, 2026, 4:18 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Nevada’s 2026 gubernatorial contest between incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo and Democratic Attorney General Aaron Ford remains highly competitive, with trader pricing reflecting narrow polling margins and split outcomes across victory buckets. Recent surveys show Lombardo holding a modest average lead of roughly four points, though multiple Democratic- and Republican-affiliated polls have produced ties or single-digit spreads within sampling error. Both nominees secured their primaries comfortably in June, allowing full general-election focus on economic performance, job growth, cost-of-living pressures, and the sizable nonpartisan voter bloc. With roughly eight weeks until November 3 and no decisive late-cycle events yet shifting momentum, the market’s even split between leading options and dispersed margin probabilities underscores the race’s sensitivity to turnout patterns and final undecided voters.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
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