Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in a tight March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus around Foushee at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical performance. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNC-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NC-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$45,730 Объем
$45,730 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Валери Фуши (Д)
95%
Макс Ганоркар (Р)
3%
$45,730 Объем
$45,730 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Валери Фуши (Д)
$14,801 Объем
95%
Макс Ганоркар (Р)
$30,929 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in a tight March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus around Foushee at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical performance. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$45,730Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in a tight March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus around Foushee at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical performance. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$45,730Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the North Carolina 4th congressional district race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+23 and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. The incumbent secured the Democratic nomination in a tight March 2026 primary against challenger Nida Allam and faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus around Foushee at 94.5% aligns with these structural factors and historical performance. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы