Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican. He faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly won a three-way primary in August but enters the general with limited fundraising and no major endorsements shifting the race. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and absence of competitive polling or late developments. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant Republican scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave not yet evident in local indicators.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-02
$53,943 Объем
$53,943 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джон Муленаар (Р)
98%
Бен Амброуз (Д)
1%
$53,943 Объем
$53,943 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джон Муленаар (Р)
$22,752 Объем
98%
Бен Амброуз (Д)
$31,190 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican. He faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly won a three-way primary in August but enters the general with limited fundraising and no major endorsements shifting the race. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and absence of competitive polling or late developments. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant Republican scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave not yet evident in local indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$53,943Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican. He faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly won a three-way primary in August but enters the general with limited fundraising and no major endorsements shifting the race. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and absence of competitive polling or late developments. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant Republican scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave not yet evident in local indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$53,943Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding position in Michigan's 2nd congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points, and unanimous forecaster ratings of Safe or Solid Republican. He faced no primary opposition, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly won a three-way primary in August but enters the general with limited fundraising and no major endorsements shifting the race. With the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the district's partisan baseline and absence of competitive polling or late developments. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a significant Republican scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave not yet evident in local indicators.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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