Katherine Clark's commanding position in the MA-05 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean across eastern Massachusetts suburbs and parts of Cambridge, where the seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1975 with consistent double-digit margins. As House Minority Whip and longtime incumbent, Clark secured renomination on September 1 by defeating two progressive challengers with roughly 74 percent of the primary vote, underscoring strong party infrastructure and fundraising. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus at 96.7 percent for the Democratic nominee. A Republican general-election candidate has yet to emerge as a serious threat. Late developments such as Clark's withdrawal for health reasons or an unforeseen scandal could theoretically shift probabilities, though the structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MA-05 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$37,291 Объем
$37,291 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Кэтрин Кларк (Д)
97%
Республиканская партия
2%
$37,291 Объем
$37,291 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Кэтрин Кларк (Д)
$26,780 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$10,511 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Katherine Clark's commanding position in the MA-05 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean across eastern Massachusetts suburbs and parts of Cambridge, where the seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1975 with consistent double-digit margins. As House Minority Whip and longtime incumbent, Clark secured renomination on September 1 by defeating two progressive challengers with roughly 74 percent of the primary vote, underscoring strong party infrastructure and fundraising. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus at 96.7 percent for the Democratic nominee. A Republican general-election candidate has yet to emerge as a serious threat. Late developments such as Clark's withdrawal for health reasons or an unforeseen scandal could theoretically shift probabilities, though the structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$37,291Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Katherine Clark's commanding position in the MA-05 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean across eastern Massachusetts suburbs and parts of Cambridge, where the seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1975 with consistent double-digit margins. As House Minority Whip and longtime incumbent, Clark secured renomination on September 1 by defeating two progressive challengers with roughly 74 percent of the primary vote, underscoring strong party infrastructure and fundraising. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus at 96.7 percent for the Democratic nominee. A Republican general-election candidate has yet to emerge as a serious threat. Late developments such as Clark's withdrawal for health reasons or an unforeseen scandal could theoretically shift probabilities, though the structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$37,291Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Katherine Clark's commanding position in the MA-05 House race stems from the district's entrenched Democratic lean across eastern Massachusetts suburbs and parts of Cambridge, where the seat has remained in Democratic hands since 1975 with consistent double-digit margins. As House Minority Whip and longtime incumbent, Clark secured renomination on September 1 by defeating two progressive challengers with roughly 74 percent of the primary vote, underscoring strong party infrastructure and fundraising. Forecasters rate the general election on November 3 as Safe or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus at 96.7 percent for the Democratic nominee. A Republican general-election candidate has yet to emerge as a serious threat. Late developments such as Clark's withdrawal for health reasons or an unforeseen scandal could theoretically shift probabilities, though the structural advantages make such reversals improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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