Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 11 indicate an overnight low near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon transition. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, while recent days have shown minima of 24–26°C amid similar patterns. Differentiation among 24–26°C outcomes hinges on precise cloud cover, dew point depression, and localized urban heat effects, with models showing modest spread in boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance converges on this range but diverges on exact minimum thresholds, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below reflecting limited cooling potential. Updated NMC or CMA briefings tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 11 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Шэньчжэне 11 сентября?
22°C 38%
27°C 38%
25°C 31%
26°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
2%
21°C
13%
22°C
38%
23°C
19%
24°C
26%
25°C
31%
26°C
27%
27°C
38%
28°C
8%
29°C
7%
30°C или выше
2%
22°C 38%
27°C 38%
25°C 31%
26°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$0 Объем
2%
21°C
$0 Объем
13%
22°C
$0 Объем
38%
23°C
$0 Объем
19%
24°C
$0 Объем
26%
25°C
$0 Объем
31%
26°C
$0 Объем
27%
27°C
$0 Объем
38%
28°C
$0 Объем
8%
29°C
$0 Объем
7%
30°C или выше
$0 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 11 indicate an overnight low near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon transition. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, while recent days have shown minima of 24–26°C amid similar patterns. Differentiation among 24–26°C outcomes hinges on precise cloud cover, dew point depression, and localized urban heat effects, with models showing modest spread in boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance converges on this range but diverges on exact minimum thresholds, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below reflecting limited cooling potential. Updated NMC or CMA briefings tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 11 indicate an overnight low near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon transition. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, while recent days have shown minima of 24–26°C amid similar patterns. Differentiation among 24–26°C outcomes hinges on precise cloud cover, dew point depression, and localized urban heat effects, with models showing modest spread in boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance converges on this range but diverges on exact minimum thresholds, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below reflecting limited cooling potential. Updated NMC or CMA briefings tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 11 indicate an overnight low near 25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high humidity typical of the subtropical monsoon transition. These conditions limit radiative cooling compared to clearer nights, while recent days have shown minima of 24–26°C amid similar patterns. Differentiation among 24–26°C outcomes hinges on precise cloud cover, dew point depression, and localized urban heat effects, with models showing modest spread in boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble guidance converges on this range but diverges on exact minimum thresholds, with lower probabilities for 23°C or below reflecting limited cooling potential. Updated NMC or CMA briefings tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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