Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and airport stations confirm a minimum temperature of 13°C in Mexico City on September 16, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 98% consensus on that outcome. High-elevation topography and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns produced overnight radiative cooling to this level without deeper cold-air intrusion, consistent with seasonal baselines around 12–14°C. Multiple model runs and real-time station data showed no deviation below this threshold. A lower reading would require an unforecasted cold surge or localized measurement anomaly at official sites, scenarios with negligible probability given the dense observational network and model agreement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 16 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Мехико 16 сентября?
13°C 100.0%
6°C или ниже <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$773 Объем
$773 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
Нет
7°C
Нет
8°C
Нет
9°C
Нет
10°C
Нет
11°C
Нет
12°C
Нет
13°C
Да
14°C
Нет
15°C
Нет
16°C или выше
Нет
13°C 100.0%
6°C или ниже <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$773 Объем
$773 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
6°C или ниже
$115 Объем
Нет
7°C
$46 Объем
Нет
8°C
$41 Объем
Нет
9°C
$41 Объем
Нет
10°C
$31 Объем
Нет
11°C
$66 Объем
Нет
12°C
$52 Объем
Нет
13°C
$29 Объем
Да
14°C
$248 Объем
Нет
15°C
$73 Объем
Нет
16°C или выше
$31 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and airport stations confirm a minimum temperature of 13°C in Mexico City on September 16, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 98% consensus on that outcome. High-elevation topography and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns produced overnight radiative cooling to this level without deeper cold-air intrusion, consistent with seasonal baselines around 12–14°C. Multiple model runs and real-time station data showed no deviation below this threshold. A lower reading would require an unforecasted cold surge or localized measurement anomaly at official sites, scenarios with negligible probability given the dense observational network and model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Объем
$773Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and airport stations confirm a minimum temperature of 13°C in Mexico City on September 16, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 98% consensus on that outcome. High-elevation topography and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns produced overnight radiative cooling to this level without deeper cold-air intrusion, consistent with seasonal baselines around 12–14°C. Multiple model runs and real-time station data showed no deviation below this threshold. A lower reading would require an unforecasted cold surge or localized measurement anomaly at official sites, scenarios with negligible probability given the dense observational network and model agreement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$773Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 14, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Official meteorological observations and forecast verification from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and airport stations confirm a minimum temperature of 13°C in Mexico City on September 16, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 98% consensus on that outcome. High-elevation topography and typical late-summer atmospheric patterns produced overnight radiative cooling to this level without deeper cold-air intrusion, consistent with seasonal baselines around 12–14°C. Multiple model runs and real-time station data showed no deviation below this threshold. A lower reading would require an unforecasted cold surge or localized measurement anomaly at official sites, scenarios with negligible probability given the dense observational network and model agreement.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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