Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Торонто 22 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Торонто 22 сентября?
2°C или ниже 87%
12°C или выше 84%
3°C 38%
4°C 38%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
2°C или ниже
87%
3°C
38%
4°C
38%
5°C
20%
6°C
20%
7°C
22%
8°C
22%
9°C
21%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C или выше
84%
2°C или ниже 87%
12°C или выше 84%
3°C 38%
4°C 38%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
2°C или ниже
$10 Объем
87%
3°C
$10 Объем
38%
4°C
$10 Объем
38%
5°C
$0 Объем
20%
6°C
$0 Объем
20%
7°C
$0 Объем
22%
8°C
$0 Объем
22%
9°C
$0 Объем
21%
10°C
$0 Объем
20%
11°C
$0 Объем
20%
12°C или выше
$10 Объем
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Объем
$40Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$40Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs show persistent uncertainty in the strength of high pressure and northeasterly flow over southern Ontario, driving the near-even split between market-implied odds for a minimum of 2°C or below versus 12°C or higher. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS ensembles currently point to partly cloudy conditions with overnight lows near 10°C on September 22, supported by dry air and winds of 15–25 km/h that limit radiational cooling. Historical September minima in Toronto average around 12–13°C, so any deviation in steering patterns or cloud cover could shift outcomes. Updated model guidance and official briefings expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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