**Divergent model runs on an incoming cold front create the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ minimums for September 22 in São Paulo.** Official guidance from agencies shows overnight lows potentially dropping to 13–17°C amid widespread rain and increased cloud cover, which limits nighttime radiative cooling, while some ensembles keep readings closer to 18–20°C under lingering warmer advection. Historical September averages place typical minima near 16°C, so the current spread reflects uncertainty in front timing, wind shifts, and precipitation intensity—key variables that will be clarified by updated NHC/INMET-style short-range guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours. Traders appear to weigh the risk of stronger cooling against the chance of a milder, more stable night.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Сан-Паулу 22 сентября?
14°C или ниже 90%
24°C или выше 88%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
14°C или ниже
90%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
26%
18°C
38%
19°C
21%
20°C
9%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C или выше
88%
14°C или ниже 90%
24°C или выше 88%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
14°C или ниже
90%
15°C
39%
16°C
40%
17°C
26%
18°C
38%
19°C
21%
20°C
9%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C или выше
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Divergent model runs on an incoming cold front create the near-even split between sub-15°C and 24°C+ minimums for September 22 in São Paulo.** Official guidance from agencies shows overnight lows potentially dropping to 13–17°C amid widespread rain and increased cloud cover, which limits nighttime radiative cooling, while some ensembles keep readings closer to 18–20°C under lingering warmer advection. Historical September averages place typical minima near 16°C, so the current spread reflects uncertainty in front timing, wind shifts, and precipitation intensity—key variables that will be clarified by updated NHC/INMET-style short-range guidance and local observations over the next 24 hours. Traders appear to weigh the risk of stronger cooling against the chance of a milder, more stable night.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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