Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and numerical models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 21 will likely fall between 12–14°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with light northerly winds and residual moisture from the rainy season limiting further drops. Historical September averages show morning minima near 13°C, while current observations and model runs suggest limited deviation due to persistent cloud cover and modest dew points around 11–13°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential clearer intervals allowing slightly cooler readings and the stabilizing effect of urban heat and humidity, with resolution hinging on official station data from the overnight period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мехико 21 сентября?
11°C 97%
7°C или ниже 90%
14°C 51%
13°C 51%
$188 Объем
$188 Объем
7°C или ниже
90%
8°C
9%
9°C
9%
10°C
30%
11°C
97%
12°C
-
13°C
51%
14°C
51%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C или выше
<1%
11°C 97%
7°C или ниже 90%
14°C 51%
13°C 51%
$188 Объем
$188 Объем
7°C или ниже
90%
8°C
9%
9°C
9%
10°C
30%
11°C
97%
12°C
-
13°C
51%
14°C
51%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and numerical models indicate Mexico City's overnight low on September 21 will likely fall between 12–14°C, reflecting the market's tight clustering around these outcomes. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city experiences enhanced nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, with light northerly winds and residual moisture from the rainy season limiting further drops. Historical September averages show morning minima near 13°C, while current observations and model runs suggest limited deviation due to persistent cloud cover and modest dew points around 11–13°C. Traders appear to weigh the balance between potential clearer intervals allowing slightly cooler readings and the stabilizing effect of urban heat and humidity, with resolution hinging on official station data from the overnight period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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