Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 21, driven by persistent warm, humid conditions under a high-pressure ridge with light northeast winds and only isolated showers or thunderstorms expected overnight. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines where overnight lows rarely dip below the mid-20s Celsius absent stronger monsoon surges or tropical influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 88% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on minimal cooling overnight into the 27–28°C range, while lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations through the evening of September 20 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 21 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 21 сентября?
27°C 88%
26°C 8%
25°C 4%
22°C или ниже 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
8%
27°C
88%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C или выше
<1%
27°C 88%
26°C 8%
25°C 4%
22°C или ниже 2%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
21 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$37 Объем
2%
23°C
$424 Объем
1%
24°C
$234 Объем
2%
25°C
$469 Объем
4%
26°C
$914 Объем
8%
27°C
$2,747 Объем
88%
28°C
$3,349 Объем
<1%
29°C
$30 Объем
1%
30°C
$329 Объем
1%
31°C
$333 Объем
1%
32°C или выше
$4 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 21, driven by persistent warm, humid conditions under a high-pressure ridge with light northeast winds and only isolated showers or thunderstorms expected overnight. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines where overnight lows rarely dip below the mid-20s Celsius absent stronger monsoon surges or tropical influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 88% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on minimal cooling overnight into the 27–28°C range, while lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations through the evening of September 20 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$8,846Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 21, driven by persistent warm, humid conditions under a high-pressure ridge with light northeast winds and only isolated showers or thunderstorms expected overnight. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines where overnight lows rarely dip below the mid-20s Celsius absent stronger monsoon surges or tropical influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 88% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on minimal cooling overnight into the 27–28°C range, while lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations through the evening of September 20 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$8,846Дата окончания
21 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature of 27°C for September 21, driven by persistent warm, humid conditions under a high-pressure ridge with light northeast winds and only isolated showers or thunderstorms expected overnight. This aligns with typical early-autumn baselines where overnight lows rarely dip below the mid-20s Celsius absent stronger monsoon surges or tropical influences. Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C at 88% implied probability, reflecting model agreement on minimal cooling overnight into the 27–28°C range, while lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Updated HKO briefings and real-time observations through the evening of September 20 will provide the final inputs for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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