Traders assign overwhelming probability to 27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 18, consistent with official Hong Kong Observatory records under persistent subtropical high pressure and typical urban heat retention. Late-September conditions, driven by gradual northeast monsoon transition and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C, normally produce overnight minima in the mid-to-upper 20s without sharp cooling from frontal passages or tropical systems. The market-implied consensus reflects verified daily minimum data rather than forecasts, with resolution hinging on the observatory’s standardized station readings. Only an unforeseen data revision or measurement anomaly could alter the outcome, both viewed as remote given established observational protocols.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гонконге 18 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Гонконге 18 сентября?
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C или ниже <1%
$21,000 Объем
$21,000 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
27°C 99.8%
25°C <1%
24°C <1%
21°C или ниже <1%
$21,000 Объем
$21,000 Объем
18 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$81 Объем
<1%
22°C
$38 Объем
<1%
23°C
$33 Объем
<1%
24°C
$268 Объем
<1%
25°C
$1,216 Объем
<1%
26°C
$8,240 Объем
<1%
27°C
$6,034 Объем
100%
28°C
$2,662 Объем
<1%
29°C
$53 Объем
<1%
30°C
$1,187 Объем
<1%
31°C или выше
$1,187 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign overwhelming probability to 27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 18, consistent with official Hong Kong Observatory records under persistent subtropical high pressure and typical urban heat retention. Late-September conditions, driven by gradual northeast monsoon transition and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C, normally produce overnight minima in the mid-to-upper 20s without sharp cooling from frontal passages or tropical systems. The market-implied consensus reflects verified daily minimum data rather than forecasts, with resolution hinging on the observatory’s standardized station readings. Only an unforeseen data revision or measurement anomaly could alter the outcome, both viewed as remote given established observational protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$21,000Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign overwhelming probability to 27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 18, consistent with official Hong Kong Observatory records under persistent subtropical high pressure and typical urban heat retention. Late-September conditions, driven by gradual northeast monsoon transition and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C, normally produce overnight minima in the mid-to-upper 20s without sharp cooling from frontal passages or tropical systems. The market-implied consensus reflects verified daily minimum data rather than forecasts, with resolution hinging on the observatory’s standardized station readings. Only an unforeseen data revision or measurement anomaly could alter the outcome, both viewed as remote given established observational protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$21,000Дата окончания
18 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming probability to 27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 18, consistent with official Hong Kong Observatory records under persistent subtropical high pressure and typical urban heat retention. Late-September conditions, driven by gradual northeast monsoon transition and sea-surface temperatures near 28–29°C, normally produce overnight minima in the mid-to-upper 20s without sharp cooling from frontal passages or tropical systems. The market-implied consensus reflects verified daily minimum data rather than forecasts, with resolution hinging on the observatory’s standardized station readings. Only an unforeseen data revision or measurement anomaly could alter the outcome, both viewed as remote given established observational protocols.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы