Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 10 point to overnight lows near 13–15°C under southerly winds of 10–20 km/h and extensive cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from dropping sharply. Coastal location and the influence of the cool Benguela Current further moderate extremes, while spring climatology typically features minima around 10–12°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 13–14°C because recent model consensus and real-time observations show only modest variability from these conditions. Differentiation between adjacent thresholds hinges on precise wind-driven mixing, dew-point trends near 13°C, and whether any brief clear spells allow additional cooling before dawn. Updated NHC-style guidance or local station data will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Кейптауне 10 сентября?
Самая низкая температура в Кейптауне 10 сентября?
9°C или ниже 92%
14°C 48%
12°C 43%
10°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
92%
10°C
16%
11°C
1%
12°C
43%
13°C
46%
14°C
48%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C или выше
<1%
9°C или ниже 92%
14°C 48%
12°C 43%
10°C 16%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
10 сент. 2026 г.
9°C или ниже
$35 Объем
92%
10°C
$35 Объем
16%
11°C
$30 Объем
1%
12°C
$8 Объем
43%
13°C
$11 Объем
46%
14°C
$0 Объем
48%
15°C
$254 Объем
<1%
16°C
$391 Объем
<1%
17°C
$15 Объем
<1%
18°C
$85 Объем
<1%
19°C или выше
$69 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 10 point to overnight lows near 13–15°C under southerly winds of 10–20 km/h and extensive cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from dropping sharply. Coastal location and the influence of the cool Benguela Current further moderate extremes, while spring climatology typically features minima around 10–12°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 13–14°C because recent model consensus and real-time observations show only modest variability from these conditions. Differentiation between adjacent thresholds hinges on precise wind-driven mixing, dew-point trends near 13°C, and whether any brief clear spells allow additional cooling before dawn. Updated NHC-style guidance or local station data will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$934Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 10 point to overnight lows near 13–15°C under southerly winds of 10–20 km/h and extensive cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from dropping sharply. Coastal location and the influence of the cool Benguela Current further moderate extremes, while spring climatology typically features minima around 10–12°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 13–14°C because recent model consensus and real-time observations show only modest variability from these conditions. Differentiation between adjacent thresholds hinges on precise wind-driven mixing, dew-point trends near 13°C, and whether any brief clear spells allow additional cooling before dawn. Updated NHC-style guidance or local station data will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$934Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 10 point to overnight lows near 13–15°C under southerly winds of 10–20 km/h and extensive cloud cover, which limits radiative cooling and keeps surface temperatures from dropping sharply. Coastal location and the influence of the cool Benguela Current further moderate extremes, while spring climatology typically features minima around 10–12°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 13–14°C because recent model consensus and real-time observations show only modest variability from these conditions. Differentiation between adjacent thresholds hinges on precise wind-driven mixing, dew-point trends near 13°C, and whether any brief clear spells allow additional cooling before dawn. Updated NHC-style guidance or local station data will likely refine these probabilities as the day progresses.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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