The solidly Republican character of Iowa’s 4th Congressional District, combined with an open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for Republican nominee Chris McGowan. McGowan secured the nomination unopposed following a Trump endorsement and consolidated support from party leaders and the NRCC, while Democrat Dave Dawson prevailed in a divided primary with under 40% of the vote. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the district’s recent electoral history. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, ethics controversies, or a sharp national partisan swing in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIA-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IA-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$34,644 Объем
$34,644 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Крис МакГоуэн (Р)
94%
Дэвид Доусон (Д)
7%
$34,644 Объем
$34,644 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Крис МакГоуэн (Р)
$21,738 Объем
94%
Дэвид Доусон (Д)
$12,906 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Iowa’s 4th Congressional District, combined with an open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for Republican nominee Chris McGowan. McGowan secured the nomination unopposed following a Trump endorsement and consolidated support from party leaders and the NRCC, while Democrat Dave Dawson prevailed in a divided primary with under 40% of the vote. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the district’s recent electoral history. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, ethics controversies, or a sharp national partisan swing in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$34,644Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Iowa’s 4th Congressional District, combined with an open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for Republican nominee Chris McGowan. McGowan secured the nomination unopposed following a Trump endorsement and consolidated support from party leaders and the NRCC, while Democrat Dave Dawson prevailed in a divided primary with under 40% of the vote. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the district’s recent electoral history. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, ethics controversies, or a sharp national partisan swing in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,644Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Iowa’s 4th Congressional District, combined with an open seat after incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship, underpins the 93.5% trader consensus for Republican nominee Chris McGowan. McGowan secured the nomination unopposed following a Trump endorsement and consolidated support from party leaders and the NRCC, while Democrat Dave Dawson prevailed in a divided primary with under 40% of the vote. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Republican, consistent with the district’s recent electoral history. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to major unforeseen events such as candidate health issues, ethics controversies, or a sharp national partisan swing in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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