**Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District because the seat’s narrow partisan balance and midterm dynamics favor the opposition party.** The Democratic state senator has a record of winning competitive Republican-leaning districts, outraised incumbent Zach Nunn through June 2026, and advanced unopposed in the June primary while both candidates focused on health care access, cancer research funding, and Medicaid. Republicans have countered with attacks tying her to progressive positions on social issues and socialism, but forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders appear to weigh her crossover appeal and the national environment more heavily than Nunn’s incumbency in this swing district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IA-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Сара Трон Гарриотт (Д)
74%
Зак Нанн (Р)
25%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Сара Трон Гарриотт (Д)
$3,840 Объем
74%
Зак Нанн (Р)
$5,898 Объем
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District because the seat’s narrow partisan balance and midterm dynamics favor the opposition party.** The Democratic state senator has a record of winning competitive Republican-leaning districts, outraised incumbent Zach Nunn through June 2026, and advanced unopposed in the June primary while both candidates focused on health care access, cancer research funding, and Medicaid. Republicans have countered with attacks tying her to progressive positions on social issues and socialism, but forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders appear to weigh her crossover appeal and the national environment more heavily than Nunn’s incumbency in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Объем
$9,738Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District because the seat’s narrow partisan balance and midterm dynamics favor the opposition party.** The Democratic state senator has a record of winning competitive Republican-leaning districts, outraised incumbent Zach Nunn through June 2026, and advanced unopposed in the June primary while both candidates focused on health care access, cancer research funding, and Medicaid. Republicans have countered with attacks tying her to progressive positions on social issues and socialism, but forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders appear to weigh her crossover appeal and the national environment more heavily than Nunn’s incumbency in this swing district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$9,738Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...**Sarah Trone Garriott holds a strong lead in trader consensus for Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District because the seat’s narrow partisan balance and midterm dynamics favor the opposition party.** The Democratic state senator has a record of winning competitive Republican-leaning districts, outraised incumbent Zach Nunn through June 2026, and advanced unopposed in the June primary while both candidates focused on health care access, cancer research funding, and Medicaid. Republicans have countered with attacks tying her to progressive positions on social issues and socialism, but forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic. Traders appear to weigh her crossover appeal and the national environment more heavily than Nunn’s incumbency in this swing district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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