Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his established record on state finances, education funding, and policy priorities, combined with consistent polling margins of around 20 points and heavy self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who previously lost to Pritzker in 2022, secured his party's nomination but faces structural challenges including limited resources and Illinois's Democratic voter base. Prediction market pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could stem from major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Иллинойса
Победитель выборов губернатора Иллинойса
$11,266 Объем
$11,266 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джей Би Притцкер (Д)
96%
Даррен Бейли (Р)
3%
$11,266 Объем
$11,266 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Джей Би Притцкер (Д)
$5,184 Объем
96%
Даррен Бейли (Р)
$6,082 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his established record on state finances, education funding, and policy priorities, combined with consistent polling margins of around 20 points and heavy self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who previously lost to Pritzker in 2022, secured his party's nomination but faces structural challenges including limited resources and Illinois's Democratic voter base. Prediction market pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could stem from major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Объем
$11,266Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his established record on state finances, education funding, and policy priorities, combined with consistent polling margins of around 20 points and heavy self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who previously lost to Pritzker in 2022, secured his party's nomination but faces structural challenges including limited resources and Illinois's Democratic voter base. Prediction market pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could stem from major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$11,266Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor JB Pritzker holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to his established record on state finances, education funding, and policy priorities, combined with consistent polling margins of around 20 points and heavy self-funding that has exceeded $300 million. Republican nominee Darren Bailey, who previously lost to Pritzker in 2022, secured his party's nomination but faces structural challenges including limited resources and Illinois's Democratic voter base. Prediction market pricing aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns favoring incumbents in the state. Potential shifts could stem from major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal, health developments, or an unexpected national political realignment affecting turnout in key areas like Chicago and downstate regions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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