Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Shanghai will experience mostly cloudy to overcast conditions on September 11 with light northeast winds, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 28–30 °C. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while maintaining typical late-summer moisture levels, consistent with historical September averages around 27 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 50 % implied probability for 28 °C and 31.5 % for 29 °C aligns with this forecast range, though minor model spread and potential for brief clearing could allow slight upward or downward revisions before final observations are recorded. Updated model guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 11 сентября?
28°C 44%
29°C 36%
27°C 13%
30°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$14,828 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,828 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
44%
29°C
36%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
28°C 44%
29°C 36%
27°C 13%
30°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$14,828 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,828 Объем
11 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$1,118 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,541 Объем
2%
27°C
$2,149 Объем
13%
28°C
$3,524 Объем
44%
29°C
$2,975 Объем
36%
30°C
$1,693 Объем
8%
31°C
$875 Объем
2%
32°C
$102 Объем
<1%
33°C
$485 Объем
<1%
34°C
$105 Объем
<1%
35°C или выше
$261 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Shanghai will experience mostly cloudy to overcast conditions on September 11 with light northeast winds, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 28–30 °C. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while maintaining typical late-summer moisture levels, consistent with historical September averages around 27 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 50 % implied probability for 28 °C and 31.5 % for 29 °C aligns with this forecast range, though minor model spread and potential for brief clearing could allow slight upward or downward revisions before final observations are recorded. Updated model guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$14,828Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Shanghai will experience mostly cloudy to overcast conditions on September 11 with light northeast winds, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 28–30 °C. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while maintaining typical late-summer moisture levels, consistent with historical September averages around 27 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 50 % implied probability for 28 °C and 31.5 % for 29 °C aligns with this forecast range, though minor model spread and potential for brief clearing could allow slight upward or downward revisions before final observations are recorded. Updated model guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$14,828Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS runs, indicate Shanghai will experience mostly cloudy to overcast conditions on September 11 with light northeast winds, supporting a daily maximum temperature near 28–30 °C. These conditions limit daytime solar heating while maintaining typical late-summer moisture levels, consistent with historical September averages around 27 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the 50 % implied probability for 28 °C and 31.5 % for 29 °C aligns with this forecast range, though minor model spread and potential for brief clearing could allow slight upward or downward revisions before final observations are recorded. Updated model guidance expected overnight remains the key near-term catalyst.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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