**Current model consensus from sources like Météo-France and GFS runs points to a maximum of 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and an anticyclone over northern France, producing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C.** These conditions reflect modest daytime warming above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22°C, tempered by persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating and prevents stronger advection of warmer air. Minor differences in afternoon clearing or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the top two outcomes, while lower odds for 23°C or 26°C+ capture residual model spread. Final resolution will hinge on the precise peak reading from official Paris stations amid stable high pressure expected through the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 11 сентября?
25°C 36%
24°C 34%
23°C 17%
26°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
17%
24°C
34%
25°C
36%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C или выше
<1%
25°C 36%
24°C 34%
23°C 17%
26°C 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
19°C или ниже
$134 Объем
<1%
20°C
$20 Объем
1%
21°C
$180 Объем
2%
22°C
$238 Объем
4%
23°C
$969 Объем
17%
24°C
$839 Объем
34%
25°C
$1,956 Объем
36%
26°C
$1,136 Объем
10%
27°C
$403 Объем
2%
28°C
$177 Объем
1%
29°C или выше
$326 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources like Météo-France and GFS runs points to a maximum of 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and an anticyclone over northern France, producing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C.**
These conditions reflect modest daytime warming above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22°C, tempered by persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating and prevents stronger advection of warmer air. Minor differences in afternoon clearing or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the top two outcomes, while lower odds for 23°C or 26°C+ capture residual model spread. Final resolution will hinge on the precise peak reading from official Paris stations amid stable high pressure expected through the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Объем
$6,379Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from sources like Météo-France and GFS runs points to a maximum of 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and an anticyclone over northern France, producing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C.**
These conditions reflect modest daytime warming above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22°C, tempered by persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating and prevents stronger advection of warmer air. Minor differences in afternoon clearing or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the top two outcomes, while lower odds for 23°C or 26°C+ capture residual model spread. Final resolution will hinge on the precise peak reading from official Paris stations amid stable high pressure expected through the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$6,379Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Current model consensus from sources like Météo-France and GFS runs points to a maximum of 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and an anticyclone over northern France, producing the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C.** These conditions reflect modest daytime warming above the late-summer climatological average of roughly 22°C, tempered by persistent cloud cover that limits solar heating and prevents stronger advection of warmer air. Minor differences in afternoon clearing or boundary-layer mixing explain the near-even split between the top two outcomes, while lower odds for 23°C or 26°C+ capture residual model spread. Final resolution will hinge on the precise peak reading from official Paris stations amid stable high pressure expected through the day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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