Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 11 point to a maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence, with mostly fine and dry daytime conditions and only low rain chances. This supports the market's tight clustering around 31°C (36%) and 32°C (33.5%), as some numerical models indicate slightly warmer potential if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Traders weigh the monsoon's cooling effect and typical September variability against historical maxima near 31–32°C, while awaiting updated model runs and the final HKO observational high that will resolve the contract.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 11 сентября?
32°C 40%
31°C 36%
30°C 17%
33°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
36%
32°C
40%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C или выше
<1%
32°C 40%
31°C 36%
30°C 17%
33°C 8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
26°C или ниже
$265 Объем
<1%
27°C
$13 Объем
<1%
28°C
$425 Объем
2%
29°C
$393 Объем
3%
30°C
$375 Объем
17%
31°C
$105 Объем
36%
32°C
$608 Объем
40%
33°C
$194 Объем
8%
34°C
$25 Объем
1%
35°C
$31 Объем
<1%
36°C или выше
$117 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 11 point to a maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence, with mostly fine and dry daytime conditions and only low rain chances. This supports the market's tight clustering around 31°C (36%) and 32°C (33.5%), as some numerical models indicate slightly warmer potential if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Traders weigh the monsoon's cooling effect and typical September variability against historical maxima near 31–32°C, while awaiting updated model runs and the final HKO observational high that will resolve the contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$2,551Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 11 point to a maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence, with mostly fine and dry daytime conditions and only low rain chances. This supports the market's tight clustering around 31°C (36%) and 32°C (33.5%), as some numerical models indicate slightly warmer potential if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Traders weigh the monsoon's cooling effect and typical September variability against historical maxima near 31–32°C, while awaiting updated model runs and the final HKO observational high that will resolve the contract.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$2,551Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 11 point to a maximum of 31°C under northeast monsoon influence, with mostly fine and dry daytime conditions and only low rain chances. This supports the market's tight clustering around 31°C (36%) and 32°C (33.5%), as some numerical models indicate slightly warmer potential if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Traders weigh the monsoon's cooling effect and typical September variability against historical maxima near 31–32°C, while awaiting updated model runs and the final HKO observational high that will resolve the contract.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы