**Trader consensus in the Polymarket market for Chicago’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers on 78–79°F (58.5% implied probability), with 76–77°F as the next most likely range (32.5%).** These probabilities align closely with official National Weather Service and local forecast guidance calling for a daytime high near 77–79°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions that gradually give way to partial afternoon sun and moderate north-to-northeast winds of 5–10 mph. September 10 climatology supports this positioning: the 1991–2020 average high is 78.2°F, and recent model runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the low 80s. Light precipitation chances earlier in the week have diminished, leaving stable boundary-layer conditions that limit both extreme warming and rapid cooling. Lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 76°F reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical for a day without significant synoptic forcing or model spread. Updated NWS and private forecasts through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before the market resolves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 10 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 10 сентября?
78-79°F 63%
76-77°F 26%
80–81°F 6%
74-75°F 4%
НОВОЕ
$11,483 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,483 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
63%
80–81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
30–30,5°C
<1%
88°F или выше
<1%
78-79°F 63%
76-77°F 26%
80–81°F 6%
74-75°F 4%
НОВОЕ
$11,483 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,483 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
69°F или ниже
$88 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$356 Объем
<1%
72-73°F
$532 Объем
1%
74-75°F
$802 Объем
4%
76-77°F
$2,683 Объем
26%
78-79°F
$4,234 Объем
63%
80–81°F
$1,283 Объем
6%
82-83°F
$518 Объем
2%
84-85°F
$402 Объем
1%
30–30,5°C
$417 Объем
<1%
88°F или выше
$169 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Polymarket market for Chicago’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers on 78–79°F (58.5% implied probability), with 76–77°F as the next most likely range (32.5%).** These probabilities align closely with official National Weather Service and local forecast guidance calling for a daytime high near 77–79°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions that gradually give way to partial afternoon sun and moderate north-to-northeast winds of 5–10 mph.
September 10 climatology supports this positioning: the 1991–2020 average high is 78.2°F, and recent model runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the low 80s. Light precipitation chances earlier in the week have diminished, leaving stable boundary-layer conditions that limit both extreme warming and rapid cooling. Lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 76°F reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical for a day without significant synoptic forcing or model spread. Updated NWS and private forecasts through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$11,483Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus in the Polymarket market for Chicago’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers on 78–79°F (58.5% implied probability), with 76–77°F as the next most likely range (32.5%).** These probabilities align closely with official National Weather Service and local forecast guidance calling for a daytime high near 77–79°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions that gradually give way to partial afternoon sun and moderate north-to-northeast winds of 5–10 mph.
September 10 climatology supports this positioning: the 1991–2020 average high is 78.2°F, and recent model runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the low 80s. Light precipitation chances earlier in the week have diminished, leaving stable boundary-layer conditions that limit both extreme warming and rapid cooling. Lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 76°F reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical for a day without significant synoptic forcing or model spread. Updated NWS and private forecasts through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,483Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus in the Polymarket market for Chicago’s highest temperature on September 10, 2026, centers on 78–79°F (58.5% implied probability), with 76–77°F as the next most likely range (32.5%).** These probabilities align closely with official National Weather Service and local forecast guidance calling for a daytime high near 77–79°F under mostly cloudy morning conditions that gradually give way to partial afternoon sun and moderate north-to-northeast winds of 5–10 mph. September 10 climatology supports this positioning: the 1991–2020 average high is 78.2°F, and recent model runs show no strong warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings into the low 80s. Light precipitation chances earlier in the week have diminished, leaving stable boundary-layer conditions that limit both extreme warming and rapid cooling. Lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 76°F reflect the narrow uncertainty band typical for a day without significant synoptic forcing or model spread. Updated NWS and private forecasts through the morning will provide the final observational constraints before the market resolves.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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