Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos holds a commanding position in Florida’s 8th congressional district, where recent polling shows him leading Democrat Jennifer Jenkins by 9 to 18 points among likely voters. The seat’s Republican lean, demonstrated by Donald Trump’s 12.5-point margin in 2024 and multiple forecasters rating it Solid Republican, underpins the market consensus. Haridopolos benefits from incumbency since his 2024 election, a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.1 million in cash on hand compared with Jenkins’s roughly $130,000, and uncontested primaries for both candidates in August 2026. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages and Haridopolos’s established support make such outcomes unlikely before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-08
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-08
$29,390 Объем
$29,390 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Харидополос (Р)
93%
Дженнифер Дженкинс (Д)
8%
$29,390 Объем
$29,390 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майк Харидополос (Р)
$13,701 Объем
93%
Дженнифер Дженкинс (Д)
$15,689 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos holds a commanding position in Florida’s 8th congressional district, where recent polling shows him leading Democrat Jennifer Jenkins by 9 to 18 points among likely voters. The seat’s Republican lean, demonstrated by Donald Trump’s 12.5-point margin in 2024 and multiple forecasters rating it Solid Republican, underpins the market consensus. Haridopolos benefits from incumbency since his 2024 election, a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.1 million in cash on hand compared with Jenkins’s roughly $130,000, and uncontested primaries for both candidates in August 2026. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages and Haridopolos’s established support make such outcomes unlikely before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Объем
$29,390Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos holds a commanding position in Florida’s 8th congressional district, where recent polling shows him leading Democrat Jennifer Jenkins by 9 to 18 points among likely voters. The seat’s Republican lean, demonstrated by Donald Trump’s 12.5-point margin in 2024 and multiple forecasters rating it Solid Republican, underpins the market consensus. Haridopolos benefits from incumbency since his 2024 election, a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.1 million in cash on hand compared with Jenkins’s roughly $130,000, and uncontested primaries for both candidates in August 2026. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages and Haridopolos’s established support make such outcomes unlikely before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$29,390Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos holds a commanding position in Florida’s 8th congressional district, where recent polling shows him leading Democrat Jennifer Jenkins by 9 to 18 points among likely voters. The seat’s Republican lean, demonstrated by Donald Trump’s 12.5-point margin in 2024 and multiple forecasters rating it Solid Republican, underpins the market consensus. Haridopolos benefits from incumbency since his 2024 election, a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.1 million in cash on hand compared with Jenkins’s roughly $130,000, and uncontested primaries for both candidates in August 2026. Late-breaking developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district’s structural advantages and Haridopolos’s established support make such outcomes unlikely before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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