Greg Stanton’s commanding position in the AZ-04 race stems from his status as a four-term incumbent in a Maricopa County district with consistent Democratic leanings, evidenced by recent presidential margins and his 2024 general election performance. He secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the July 2026 primary, outpacing his progressive challenger with superior fundraising exceeding $2 million and recent endorsements including the Arizona Fraternal Order of Police. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser, a physician unopposed in his primary, trails with roughly half the resources and faces structural headwinds in the district. Late developments such as candidate forums on cost-of-living and health care issues have not altered the competitive landscape. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a significant national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November 2026 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAZ-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AZ-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$33,658 Объем
$33,658 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Грег Стантон (Д)
95%
Зухди Джассер (Р)
6%
$33,658 Объем
$33,658 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Грег Стантон (Д)
$25,617 Объем
95%
Зухди Джассер (Р)
$8,041 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Stanton’s commanding position in the AZ-04 race stems from his status as a four-term incumbent in a Maricopa County district with consistent Democratic leanings, evidenced by recent presidential margins and his 2024 general election performance. He secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the July 2026 primary, outpacing his progressive challenger with superior fundraising exceeding $2 million and recent endorsements including the Arizona Fraternal Order of Police. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser, a physician unopposed in his primary, trails with roughly half the resources and faces structural headwinds in the district. Late developments such as candidate forums on cost-of-living and health care issues have not altered the competitive landscape. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a significant national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$33,658Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Greg Stanton’s commanding position in the AZ-04 race stems from his status as a four-term incumbent in a Maricopa County district with consistent Democratic leanings, evidenced by recent presidential margins and his 2024 general election performance. He secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the July 2026 primary, outpacing his progressive challenger with superior fundraising exceeding $2 million and recent endorsements including the Arizona Fraternal Order of Police. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser, a physician unopposed in his primary, trails with roughly half the resources and faces structural headwinds in the district. Late developments such as candidate forums on cost-of-living and health care issues have not altered the competitive landscape. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a significant national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$33,658Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Greg Stanton’s commanding position in the AZ-04 race stems from his status as a four-term incumbent in a Maricopa County district with consistent Democratic leanings, evidenced by recent presidential margins and his 2024 general election performance. He secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the July 2026 primary, outpacing his progressive challenger with superior fundraising exceeding $2 million and recent endorsements including the Arizona Fraternal Order of Police. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser, a physician unopposed in his primary, trails with roughly half the resources and faces structural headwinds in the district. Late developments such as candidate forums on cost-of-living and health care issues have not altered the competitive landscape. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a significant national Republican wave, unexpected scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout before the November 2026 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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