Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. As the incumbent who secured 70.9% in 2024, she advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Democratic primary while facing only minor-party and write-in opposition in the November general election. High fundraising, established local visibility, and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment capable of mobilizing unexpected turnout in this heavily Democratic Phoenix-area district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAZ-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AZ-03 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$52,732 Объем
$52,732 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Яссамин Ансари (Д)
98%
Республиканская партия
<1%
$52,732 Объем
$52,732 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Яссамин Ансари (Д)
$32,813 Объем
98%
Республиканская партия
$19,919 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. As the incumbent who secured 70.9% in 2024, she advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Democratic primary while facing only minor-party and write-in opposition in the November general election. High fundraising, established local visibility, and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment capable of mobilizing unexpected turnout in this heavily Democratic Phoenix-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$52,732Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. As the incumbent who secured 70.9% in 2024, she advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Democratic primary while facing only minor-party and write-in opposition in the November general election. High fundraising, established local visibility, and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment capable of mobilizing unexpected turnout in this heavily Democratic Phoenix-area district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$52,732Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district race due to the seat's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+22 partisan voting index and consistent strong performance in recent cycles. As the incumbent who secured 70.9% in 2024, she advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Democratic primary while facing only minor-party and write-in opposition in the November general election. High fundraising, established local visibility, and the absence of a viable Republican nominee have reinforced trader consensus around her reelection. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment capable of mobilizing unexpected turnout in this heavily Democratic Phoenix-area district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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