Recent U.S.-Colombia security cooperation under President Abelardo de la Espriella has strengthened bilateral ties and aligned both governments on counter-narcotics operations, equipment modernization, intelligence sharing, and joint efforts against armed groups. U.S. officials have discussed expanded military assistance, including potential support for Colombian-led actions within legal frameworks and Colombian consent, following the August 2026 inauguration and a $1 billion security package. These developments reflect a reset from prior strains, with shared priorities on regional stability and trade. Trader consensus on no invasion reflects the absence of hostile intent or unilateral action. Unforeseen escalations, such as unauthorized cross-border operations or sudden diplomatic rupture, remain low-probability factors that could theoretically alter assessments before year-end.