The January 2026 U.S. operation capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro established a precedent for targeted action framed around counternarcotics and regime pressure, yet subsequent developments have emphasized bilateral cooperation instead of further unilateral interventions. The Trump administration has advanced the Shield of the Americas coalition and Western Hemisphere Joint Task Force, securing agreements for joint operations with Colombia, Ecuador, and others while conducting strikes on suspected drug vessels. Venezuela was removed from the U.S. list of major drug transit countries in September amid improving ties and resource deals. Ongoing diplomacy, military aid shifts to partners, and focus on shared threats like cartels have reinforced trader views that no additional invasion of a Latin American country will occur before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
7% chance
$277,069 Vol.
$277,069 Vol.
31 dez 2026
Sim
7% chance
$277,069 Vol.
$277,069 Vol.
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. operation capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro established a precedent for targeted action framed around counternarcotics and regime pressure, yet subsequent developments have emphasized bilateral cooperation instead of further unilateral interventions. The Trump administration has advanced the Shield of the Americas coalition and Western Hemisphere Joint Task Force, securing agreements for joint operations with Colombia, Ecuador, and others while conducting strikes on suspected drug vessels. Venezuela was removed from the U.S. list of major drug transit countries in September amid improving ties and resource deals. Ongoing diplomacy, military aid shifts to partners, and focus on shared threats like cartels have reinforced trader views that no additional invasion of a Latin American country will occur before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$277,069Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. operation capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro established a precedent for targeted action framed around counternarcotics and regime pressure, yet subsequent developments have emphasized bilateral cooperation instead of further unilateral interventions. The Trump administration has advanced the Shield of the Americas coalition and Western Hemisphere Joint Task Force, securing agreements for joint operations with Colombia, Ecuador, and others while conducting strikes on suspected drug vessels. Venezuela was removed from the U.S. list of major drug transit countries in September amid improving ties and resource deals. Ongoing diplomacy, military aid shifts to partners, and focus on shared threats like cartels have reinforced trader views that no additional invasion of a Latin American country will occur before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Volume
$277,069Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The January 2026 U.S. operation capturing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro established a precedent for targeted action framed around counternarcotics and regime pressure, yet subsequent developments have emphasized bilateral cooperation instead of further unilateral interventions. The Trump administration has advanced the Shield of the Americas coalition and Western Hemisphere Joint Task Force, securing agreements for joint operations with Colombia, Ecuador, and others while conducting strikes on suspected drug vessels. Venezuela was removed from the U.S. list of major drug transit countries in September amid improving ties and resource deals. Ongoing diplomacy, military aid shifts to partners, and focus on shared threats like cartels have reinforced trader views that no additional invasion of a Latin American country will occur before year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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