Recent outages on September 1–3, including elevated errors across Claude Sonnet 5, Mythos 5.1, Fable 5.1, and Opus 5 models plus degraded performance on claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code, have shaped trader views on September downtime. These incidents, resolved within hours but part of a pattern of recurring infrastructure hiccups, align with Anthropic’s 90-day uptime hovering near 99.4–99.7 percent across services. The tight contest between 5–7 and 8–10 days reflects uncertainty over whether scaling demands for newer large language models will trigger additional partial outages or if recent fixes stabilize operations through month-end. No major product launches or regulatory events appear imminent to alter the trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoClaude vai descer em __ dias em setembro?
Claude vai descer em __ dias em setembro?
8-10 39%
5-7 38%
11-13 13%
<5 8.0%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
<5
8%
5-7
38%
8-10
39%
11-13
13%
14+
3%
8-10 39%
5-7 38%
11-13 13%
<5 8.0%
NOVO
NOVO
30 set 2026
<5
$1,281 Vol.
8%
5-7
$2,330 Vol.
38%
8-10
$426 Vol.
39%
11-13
$607 Vol.
13%
14+
$382 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on September 1–3, including elevated errors across Claude Sonnet 5, Mythos 5.1, Fable 5.1, and Opus 5 models plus degraded performance on claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code, have shaped trader views on September downtime. These incidents, resolved within hours but part of a pattern of recurring infrastructure hiccups, align with Anthropic’s 90-day uptime hovering near 99.4–99.7 percent across services. The tight contest between 5–7 and 8–10 days reflects uncertainty over whether scaling demands for newer large language models will trigger additional partial outages or if recent fixes stabilize operations through month-end. No major product launches or regulatory events appear imminent to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
Volume
$5,026Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on September 1–3, including elevated errors across Claude Sonnet 5, Mythos 5.1, Fable 5.1, and Opus 5 models plus degraded performance on claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code, have shaped trader views on September downtime. These incidents, resolved within hours but part of a pattern of recurring infrastructure hiccups, align with Anthropic’s 90-day uptime hovering near 99.4–99.7 percent across services. The tight contest between 5–7 and 8–10 days reflects uncertainty over whether scaling demands for newer large language models will trigger additional partial outages or if recent fixes stabilize operations through month-end. No major product launches or regulatory events appear imminent to alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in September 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volume
$5,026Data de Término
30 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent outages on September 1–3, including elevated errors across Claude Sonnet 5, Mythos 5.1, Fable 5.1, and Opus 5 models plus degraded performance on claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code, have shaped trader views on September downtime. These incidents, resolved within hours but part of a pattern of recurring infrastructure hiccups, align with Anthropic’s 90-day uptime hovering near 99.4–99.7 percent across services. The tight contest between 5–7 and 8–10 days reflects uncertainty over whether scaling demands for newer large language models will trigger additional partial outages or if recent fixes stabilize operations through month-end. No major product launches or regulatory events appear imminent to alter the trajectory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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