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icon for Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?

Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?

icon for Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?

Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?

$68,760 Vol.

30 dez 2026
Polymarket

$68,760 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$1,619 Vol.

90%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$2,161 Vol.

88%

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Pete Buttigieg

$111 Vol.

86%

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Gavin Newsom

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82%

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Andy Beshear

$28 Vol.

78%

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Rahm Emanuel

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74%

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Kamala Harris

$1,088 Vol.

73%

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Cory Booker

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65%

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70%

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J.B. Pritzker

$45 Vol.

66%

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Josh Shapiro

$136 Vol.

64%

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Ron DeSantis

$513 Vol.

81%

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64%

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Wes Moore

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63%

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63%

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53%

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49%

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39%

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of September 2026, the 2028 presidential cycle remains in its early exploratory phase following Donald Trump’s term-limited tenure, with major party contenders largely avoiding formal announcements ahead of the November midterms. Potential Republican figures such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio have engaged in early-state travel and donor outreach while emphasizing current roles, and Democratic names including Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, and Andy Beshear have signaled interest through interviews, PAC activity, and polling visibility without launching campaigns. A handful of lesser-known Republican entrants filed exploratory committees or declared in mid-2026, but established contenders continue to prioritize midterm outcomes and party positioning. Resolution timing hinges on formal FEC filings and public declarations before January 2028, with post-midterm momentum likely accelerating visible moves.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68,760
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of September 2026, the 2028 presidential cycle remains in its early exploratory phase following Donald Trump’s term-limited tenure, with major party contenders largely avoiding formal announcements ahead of the November midterms. Potential Republican figures such as JD Vance and Marco Rubio have engaged in early-state travel and donor outreach while emphasizing current roles, and Democratic names including Pete Buttigieg, Gavin Newsom, and Andy Beshear have signaled interest through interviews, PAC activity, and polling visibility without launching campaigns. A handful of lesser-known Republican entrants filed exploratory committees or declared in mid-2026, but established contenders continue to prioritize midterm outcomes and party positioning. Resolution timing hinges on formal FEC filings and public declarations before January 2028, with post-midterm momentum likely accelerating visible moves.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$68,760
Data de Término
31 dez 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 90%, followed by "Ted Cruz" at 88%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?" has generated $68.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?" is "J.D. Vance" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ted Cruz" at 88%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quem anunciará a candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.