Trader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear leader with a 71% implied probability for the best text arena math AI model by end of October, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have posted strong results on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks. These gains stem from targeted enhancements in chain-of-thought processing and multi-step problem solving, outpacing rivals amid a competitive AI landscape. Google at 11.3% and OpenAI at 7.0% trail due to solid but less dominant showings in comparable evaluations, while the long tail of other firms at 1% or below highlights concentrated progress among top labs. Market odds could shift with new model drops or fresh benchmark data before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual empresa tem o melhor modelo de Text Arena Math AI no final de outubro?
Qual empresa tem o melhor modelo de Text Arena Math AI no final de outubro?
Anthropic 71%
Google 11.3%
OpenAI 7%
Alibaba 1.0%
$38,155 Vol.
$38,155 Vol.
31 out 2026
Anthropic
71%
11%
OpenAI
7%
Alibaba
1%
Moonshot
1%
Meta
1%
Xiaomi
1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 71%
Google 11.3%
OpenAI 7%
Alibaba 1.0%
$38,155 Vol.
$38,155 Vol.
31 out 2026
Anthropic
$15,532 Vol.
71%
$1,765 Vol.
11%
OpenAI
$6,905 Vol.
7%
Alibaba
$982 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$1,002 Vol.
1%
Meta
$1,105 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$1,132 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$964 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$942 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$753 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$778 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,033 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$694 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$492 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$745 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$653 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$649 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$773 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$662 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$593 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear leader with a 71% implied probability for the best text arena math AI model by end of October, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have posted strong results on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks. These gains stem from targeted enhancements in chain-of-thought processing and multi-step problem solving, outpacing rivals amid a competitive AI landscape. Google at 11.3% and OpenAI at 7.0% trail due to solid but less dominant showings in comparable evaluations, while the long tail of other firms at 1% or below highlights concentrated progress among top labs. Market odds could shift with new model drops or fresh benchmark data before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Volume
$38,155Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear leader with a 71% implied probability for the best text arena math AI model by end of October, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have posted strong results on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks. These gains stem from targeted enhancements in chain-of-thought processing and multi-step problem solving, outpacing rivals amid a competitive AI landscape. Google at 11.3% and OpenAI at 7.0% trail due to solid but less dominant showings in comparable evaluations, while the long tail of other firms at 1% or below highlights concentrated progress among top labs. Market odds could shift with new model drops or fresh benchmark data before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$38,155Data de Término
1 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment positions Anthropic as the clear leader with a 71% implied probability for the best text arena math AI model by end of October, reflecting its recent large language model releases that have posted strong results on advanced mathematical reasoning benchmarks. These gains stem from targeted enhancements in chain-of-thought processing and multi-step problem solving, outpacing rivals amid a competitive AI landscape. Google at 11.3% and OpenAI at 7.0% trail due to solid but less dominant showings in comparable evaluations, while the long tail of other firms at 1% or below highlights concentrated progress among top labs. Market odds could shift with new model drops or fresh benchmark data before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions