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icon for Vencedor do Vaimauga 3 By-Election
Mundo·Samoa

Vencedor do Vaimauga 3 By-Election

icon for Vencedor do Vaimauga 3 By-Election
Mundo·Samoa

Vencedor do Vaimauga 3 By-Election

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 14%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 5.1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 42%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 15.6%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 14%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 5.1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

$1,947 Vol.

42%

icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

$1,180 Vol.

16%

icon for Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

$2,567 Vol.

14%

icon for Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

$546 Vol.

5%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Vaimauga 3 voters return to the polls on 18 September 2026 for the third contest in the constituency since 2025, following the Electoral Court’s voiding of the May result on bribery findings that disqualified both main participants. With Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai and Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu barred, the field now features multiple FAST entrants including Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni, HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo, independents such as Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo, and additional contenders. Traders see no dominant frontrunner because the fragmented slate, combined with voter priorities around roads, water supply, street lighting, and District Development Programme funding, sustains even implied probabilities across options. Local service delivery and residual party-switching effects continue to shape positioning ahead of pre-polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$6,240
Data de Término
18 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).Vaimauga 3 voters return to the polls on 18 September 2026 for the third contest in the constituency since 2025, following the Electoral Court’s voiding of the May result on bribery findings that disqualified both main participants. With Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai and Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu barred, the field now features multiple FAST entrants including Nonu Laulu William Mauia and Puaʻalatamai Filemoni Filemoni, HRPP nominee Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faʻaʻofo, independents such as Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo, and additional contenders. Traders see no dominant frontrunner because the fragmented slate, combined with voter priorities around roads, water supply, street lighting, and District Development Programme funding, sustains even implied probabilities across options. Local service delivery and residual party-switching effects continue to shape positioning ahead of pre-polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$6,240
Data de Término
18 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor do Vaimauga 3 By-Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" at 42%, followed by "Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor do Vaimauga 3 By-Election" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor do Vaimauga 3 By-Election," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor do Vaimauga 3 By-Election" is "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor do Vaimauga 3 By-Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.