Olivia Chow maintains a commanding position in the Toronto mayoral race as the incumbent seeking re-election on October 26, 2026, supported by consistent polling leads that have widened in recent weeks. A Liaison Strategies survey from early September showed her at 50 percent among decided and leaning voters, ahead of Brad Bradford by 11 points and Chris Alexander by a wider margin, with little movement from prior August results. Chow formally launched her campaign on September 9, emphasizing achievements in affordable housing and transit while pledging to hold property tax increases at or near inflation rates. Bradford's support appears to have plateaued, limiting his ability to close the gap despite regional strength in areas like Etobicoke. These developments underpin trader consensus favoring Chow's continued lead heading into the final stretch.