Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, leaving the Moderate Party positioned for third with roughly 17% support, well ahead of the Left Party, Centre Party, Greens, and Christian Democrats clustered lower. The final Novus survey showed modest bloc tightening and a Liberals rebound above the 4% threshold, yet these shifts have not altered the established top-three ordering. With the September 13 vote days away, trader consensus reflects the stability of this hierarchy across multiple pollsters, the absence of late volatility in Moderate support, and limited realistic pathways for smaller parties to overtake them before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 81%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 18%
Centre Party (C) <1%
Left Party (V) <1%
$91,793 Vol.
$91,793 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
18%

Moderate Party (M)
81%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 81%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 18%
Centre Party (C) <1%
Left Party (V) <1%
$91,793 Vol.
$91,793 Vol.

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
18%

Moderate Party (M)
81%

Centre Party (C)
1%

Left Party (V)
<1%

Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%

Green Party (MP)
<1%

Liberals (L)
<1%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Mercado Aberto: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, leaving the Moderate Party positioned for third with roughly 17% support, well ahead of the Left Party, Centre Party, Greens, and Christian Democrats clustered lower. The final Novus survey showed modest bloc tightening and a Liberals rebound above the 4% threshold, yet these shifts have not altered the established top-three ordering. With the September 13 vote days away, trader consensus reflects the stability of this hierarchy across multiple pollsters, the absence of late volatility in Moderate support, and limited realistic pathways for smaller parties to overtake them before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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