**Ongoing military operations and stalled international mediation continue to shape prospects for any near-term ceasefire in Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF).** Fighting has intensified in Blue Nile, North Kordofan, and Darfur regions, with RSF drone strikes and territorial gains alongside SAF counteroffensives and reported defections. On September 11, 2026, the UN Security Council extended the Darfur arms embargo for only one month amid US efforts—backed by the Quad—to impose a nationwide ban aimed at pressuring both sides toward talks; Russia opposed expansion. Recent US/Quad proposals for a humanitarian truce linked to withdrawals and a civilian transition have faced rejection or strict conditions from the SAF, which insists on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. The Quintet group held its first wartime consultations in Khartoum in early September, coordinating with Quad efforts, while a June prisoner exchange marked limited progress. These dynamics highlight persistent barriers, including foreign support concerns and enforcement gaps, leaving any resolution timeline uncertain amid continued battlefield activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCessar-fogo da guerra civil do Sudão até...?
Cessar-fogo da guerra civil do Sudão até...?
$119,424 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro de 2026
13%
$119,424 Vol.
31 de dezembro de 2026
$14,886 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.**Ongoing military operations and stalled international mediation continue to shape prospects for any near-term ceasefire in Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF).** Fighting has intensified in Blue Nile, North Kordofan, and Darfur regions, with RSF drone strikes and territorial gains alongside SAF counteroffensives and reported defections. On September 11, 2026, the UN Security Council extended the Darfur arms embargo for only one month amid US efforts—backed by the Quad—to impose a nationwide ban aimed at pressuring both sides toward talks; Russia opposed expansion. Recent US/Quad proposals for a humanitarian truce linked to withdrawals and a civilian transition have faced rejection or strict conditions from the SAF, which insists on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. The Quintet group held its first wartime consultations in Khartoum in early September, coordinating with Quad efforts, while a June prisoner exchange marked limited progress. These dynamics highlight persistent barriers, including foreign support concerns and enforcement gaps, leaving any resolution timeline uncertain amid continued battlefield activity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Volume
$119,424Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.**Ongoing military operations and stalled international mediation continue to shape prospects for any near-term ceasefire in Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF).** Fighting has intensified in Blue Nile, North Kordofan, and Darfur regions, with RSF drone strikes and territorial gains alongside SAF counteroffensives and reported defections. On September 11, 2026, the UN Security Council extended the Darfur arms embargo for only one month amid US efforts—backed by the Quad—to impose a nationwide ban aimed at pressuring both sides toward talks; Russia opposed expansion. Recent US/Quad proposals for a humanitarian truce linked to withdrawals and a civilian transition have faced rejection or strict conditions from the SAF, which insists on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. The Quintet group held its first wartime consultations in Khartoum in early September, coordinating with Quad efforts, while a June prisoner exchange marked limited progress. These dynamics highlight persistent barriers, including foreign support concerns and enforcement gaps, leaving any resolution timeline uncertain amid continued battlefield activity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$119,424Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Ongoing military operations and stalled international mediation continue to shape prospects for any near-term ceasefire in Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) under Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF).** Fighting has intensified in Blue Nile, North Kordofan, and Darfur regions, with RSF drone strikes and territorial gains alongside SAF counteroffensives and reported defections. On September 11, 2026, the UN Security Council extended the Darfur arms embargo for only one month amid US efforts—backed by the Quad—to impose a nationwide ban aimed at pressuring both sides toward talks; Russia opposed expansion. Recent US/Quad proposals for a humanitarian truce linked to withdrawals and a civilian transition have faced rejection or strict conditions from the SAF, which insists on full RSF withdrawal from occupied cities. The Quintet group held its first wartime consultations in Khartoum in early September, coordinating with Quad efforts, while a June prisoner exchange marked limited progress. These dynamics highlight persistent barriers, including foreign support concerns and enforcement gaps, leaving any resolution timeline uncertain amid continued battlefield activity.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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