South Dakota's at-large House seat is an open contest following incumbent Dusty Johnson's decision to run for governor, with Republican nominee Marty Jackley holding a commanding lead in trader pricing. Jackley, the state's attorney general, secured the GOP nomination in the June 2 primary with 79 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including large margins in recent federal races and a partisan lean exceeding R+15, underpin the current consensus. Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the seat without interruption since 2008. Independent candidate Jack Pittman is also on the ballot. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Câmara SD-AL
Vencedor da eleição da Câmara SD-AL
$32,017 Vol.
$32,017 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
3%
$32,017 Vol.
$32,017 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Marty Jackley (R)
$24,329 Vol.
95%
Nikki Gronli (D)
$7,688 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat is an open contest following incumbent Dusty Johnson's decision to run for governor, with Republican nominee Marty Jackley holding a commanding lead in trader pricing. Jackley, the state's attorney general, secured the GOP nomination in the June 2 primary with 79 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including large margins in recent federal races and a partisan lean exceeding R+15, underpin the current consensus. Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the seat without interruption since 2008. Independent candidate Jack Pittman is also on the ballot. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$32,017Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat is an open contest following incumbent Dusty Johnson's decision to run for governor, with Republican nominee Marty Jackley holding a commanding lead in trader pricing. Jackley, the state's attorney general, secured the GOP nomination in the June 2 primary with 79 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including large margins in recent federal races and a partisan lean exceeding R+15, underpin the current consensus. Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the seat without interruption since 2008. Independent candidate Jack Pittman is also on the ballot. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$32,017Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large House seat is an open contest following incumbent Dusty Johnson's decision to run for governor, with Republican nominee Marty Jackley holding a commanding lead in trader pricing. Jackley, the state's attorney general, secured the GOP nomination in the June 2 primary with 79 percent of the vote against limited opposition. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including large margins in recent federal races and a partisan lean exceeding R+15, underpin the current consensus. Democratic nominee Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed in her primary but faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have held the seat without interruption since 2008. Independent candidate Jack Pittman is also on the ballot. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as solidly Republican. Late developments such as turnout shifts or unforeseen controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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