Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02

Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02

icon for Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02

Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02

Polymarket

$35,140 Vol.

Polymarket

$35,140 Vol.

Victor Mellor

$12,766 Vol.

Sim

Stephen Skoly

$22,374 Vol.

Não

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Victor Mellor secured the Republican nomination for Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District in the September 9 primary, reflecting trader consensus around his commanding position. His campaign relied heavily on self-funding exceeding $3 million in receipts, including substantial personal loans and contributions, which supported extensive advertising and outreach ahead of the contest against the state party-endorsed rival. Additional factors included local endorsements from groups such as the Fraternal Order of Police and town committees, along with emphasis on issues like border security, medical freedom, and constitutional priorities. While the primary outcome appears settled based on reported results, scenarios such as delayed certification, recounts, or unforeseen legal challenges tied to eligibility or vote counts could still influence final resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$35,140
Data de Término
9 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Victor Mellor secured the Republican nomination for Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District in the September 9 primary, reflecting trader consensus around his commanding position. His campaign relied heavily on self-funding exceeding $3 million in receipts, including substantial personal loans and contributions, which supported extensive advertising and outreach ahead of the contest against the state party-endorsed rival. Additional factors included local endorsements from groups such as the Fraternal Order of Police and town committees, along with emphasis on issues like border security, medical freedom, and constitutional priorities. While the primary outcome appears settled based on reported results, scenarios such as delayed certification, recounts, or unforeseen legal challenges tied to eligibility or vote counts could still influence final resolution.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 9, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$35,140
Data de Término
9 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 4:33 PM ET

Resultado proposto: Sim

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Victor Mellor" at 100%, followed by "Stephen Skoly" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02" has generated $35.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02" is "Victor Mellor" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Stephen Skoly" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da primária republicana do RI-02" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.