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icon for Eleição Presidencial da República Srpska
Eleições·Eleição Principal

Eleição Presidencial da República Srpska

icon for Eleição Presidencial da República Srpska
Eleições·Eleição Principal

Eleição Presidencial da República Srpska

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Bogdan Jovanović <1%

Ćamil Duraković <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 36%

Bogdan Jovanović <1%

Ćamil Duraković <1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Savo Minić

Savo Minić

$3,254 Vol.

60%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$1,308 Vol.

36%

icon for Bogdan Jovanović

Bogdan Jovanović

$263 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ćamil Duraković

Ćamil Duraković

$516 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ramiz Salkić

Ramiz Salkić

$320 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivan Begić

Ivan Begić

$323 Vol.

<1%

icon for Begija Smajić

Begija Smajić

$346 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jusuf Arifagić

Jusuf Arifagić

$354 Vol.

<1%

icon for Igor Balukčić

Igor Balukčić

$338 Vol.

<1%

icon for Franjo Jukić

Franjo Jukić

$310 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marko Jorgić

Marko Jorgić

$290 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivo Kamenjašević

Ivo Kamenjašević

$312 Vol.

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Savo Minić leads trader pricing at 60% for the October 4, 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election as the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) nominee and current prime minister.** The ruling party's entrenched organizational network and record of recent entity-level wins underpin this positioning, even after Milorad Dodik's six-year ban from public office shifted the ticket to Minić. Opposition candidate Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) sits at 25%, reflecting a consolidated but narrower challenger base focused on economic critiques and governance transparency. Multiple lower-probability candidates, including several Bosniak and Croat vice-presidential contenders such as Ramiz Salkić and Ćamil Duraković, trade near zero or flat at 50% in ancillary outcomes, consistent with the Serb-majority contest dynamics and historical SNSD dominance in direct presidential votes. No major late-breaking developments have altered the landscape in the past week, though the ongoing campaign emphasizes entity stability and jurisdictional issues ahead of the general elections.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,931
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.izbori.ba/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Savo Minić leads trader pricing at 60% for the October 4, 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election as the Alliance of Independent Social Democrats (SNSD) nominee and current prime minister.** The ruling party's entrenched organizational network and record of recent entity-level wins underpin this positioning, even after Milorad Dodik's six-year ban from public office shifted the ticket to Minić. Opposition candidate Branko Blanuša of the Serb Democratic Party (SDS) sits at 25%, reflecting a consolidated but narrower challenger base focused on economic critiques and governance transparency. Multiple lower-probability candidates, including several Bosniak and Croat vice-presidential contenders such as Ramiz Salkić and Ćamil Duraković, trade near zero or flat at 50% in ancillary outcomes, consistent with the Serb-majority contest dynamics and historical SNSD dominance in direct presidential votes. No major late-breaking developments have altered the landscape in the past week, though the ongoing campaign emphasizes entity stability and jurisdictional issues ahead of the general elections.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,931
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.izbori.ba/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição Presidencial da República Srpska" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Savo Minić" at 60%, followed by "Branko Blanuša" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição Presidencial da República Srpska" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição Presidencial da República Srpska," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição Presidencial da República Srpska" is "Savo Minić" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Branko Blanuša" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição Presidencial da República Srpska" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.