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icon for Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?

Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?

icon for Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?

Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?

jan 1, 2027

jan 1, 2027

$18,177 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$18,177 Vol.

Polymarket

US$ 41 trilhões

$675 Vol.

57%

US$ 42 trilhões

$9,304 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.Persistent federal budget deficits near $2 trillion in fiscal 2026, driven by elevated spending on entitlements, defense, and net interest exceeding $1 trillion annually, continue to push gross national debt above $40 trillion as of September 2026. Daily borrowing rates around $7 billion sustain upward momentum, with projections indicating a potential $41 trillion milestone by early 2027 absent major policy shifts. Higher Treasury yields near 5% compound interest costs, while recent proposals for expanded outlays and the November 2026 midterms introduce uncertainty over fiscal restraint. Debt-limit headroom remains limited, with contact likely in 2027, though structural factors like revenue growth and economic conditions could influence near-term trajectories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volume
$18,177
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.Persistent federal budget deficits near $2 trillion in fiscal 2026, driven by elevated spending on entitlements, defense, and net interest exceeding $1 trillion annually, continue to push gross national debt above $40 trillion as of September 2026. Daily borrowing rates around $7 billion sustain upward momentum, with projections indicating a potential $41 trillion milestone by early 2027 absent major policy shifts. Higher Treasury yields near 5% compound interest costs, while recent proposals for expanded outlays and the November 2026 midterms introduce uncertainty over fiscal restraint. Debt-limit headroom remains limited, with contact likely in 2027, though structural factors like revenue growth and economic conditions could influence near-term trajectories.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volume
$18,177
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "US$ 39 trilhões" at 100%, followed by "US$ 40 trilhões" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?" has generated $18.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?" is "US$ 39 trilhões" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "US$ 40 trilhões" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pico da dívida nacional dos EUA antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.