Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti holds a trader consensus lead over incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan in Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The race remains rated a toss-up by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its competitiveness in a district that leaned Republican in the prior cycle. Cognetti’s edge in recent fundraising, including a substantial Q2 haul that gave her more cash on hand, has supported her positioning, while Bresnahan’s stock trading disclosures have drawn sustained criticism and contributed to his underwater favorability ratings in internal and independent polling. June surveys showed the candidates essentially tied or with Cognetti holding a narrow lead, consistent with the district’s modest Democratic registration advantage and broader questions about the incumbent’s standing among Northeast Pennsylvania voters.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa PA-08
Vencedor da eleição da casa PA-08
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Paige Cognetti (D)
63%
Rob Bresnahan (R)
35%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
Paige Cognetti (D)
$4,985 Vol.
63%
Rob Bresnahan (R)
$3,103 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti holds a trader consensus lead over incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan in Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The race remains rated a toss-up by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its competitiveness in a district that leaned Republican in the prior cycle. Cognetti’s edge in recent fundraising, including a substantial Q2 haul that gave her more cash on hand, has supported her positioning, while Bresnahan’s stock trading disclosures have drawn sustained criticism and contributed to his underwater favorability ratings in internal and independent polling. June surveys showed the candidates essentially tied or with Cognetti holding a narrow lead, consistent with the district’s modest Democratic registration advantage and broader questions about the incumbent’s standing among Northeast Pennsylvania voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$8,087Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti holds a trader consensus lead over incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan in Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The race remains rated a toss-up by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its competitiveness in a district that leaned Republican in the prior cycle. Cognetti’s edge in recent fundraising, including a substantial Q2 haul that gave her more cash on hand, has supported her positioning, while Bresnahan’s stock trading disclosures have drawn sustained criticism and contributed to his underwater favorability ratings in internal and independent polling. June surveys showed the candidates essentially tied or with Cognetti holding a narrow lead, consistent with the district’s modest Democratic registration advantage and broader questions about the incumbent’s standing among Northeast Pennsylvania voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,087Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti holds a trader consensus lead over incumbent Republican Rob Bresnahan in Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election. The race remains rated a toss-up by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball, reflecting its competitiveness in a district that leaned Republican in the prior cycle. Cognetti’s edge in recent fundraising, including a substantial Q2 haul that gave her more cash on hand, has supported her positioning, while Bresnahan’s stock trading disclosures have drawn sustained criticism and contributed to his underwater favorability ratings in internal and independent polling. June surveys showed the candidates essentially tied or with Cognetti holding a narrow lead, consistent with the district’s modest Democratic registration advantage and broader questions about the incumbent’s standing among Northeast Pennsylvania voters.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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