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icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Okinawa

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Okinawa

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de Okinawa

Vencedor da eleição para governador de Okinawa

Genta Koja 68%

Denny Tamaki 29%

Shun Kaneshima 1.1%

Masahiro Sueyoshi 1.1%

Polymarket

$20,864 Vol.

Genta Koja 68%

Denny Tamaki 29%

Shun Kaneshima 1.1%

Masahiro Sueyoshi 1.1%

Polymarket

$20,864 Vol.

icon for Genta Koja

Genta Koja

$3,358 Vol.

68%

icon for Denny Tamaki

Denny Tamaki

$13,570 Vol.

29%

icon for Shun Kaneshima

Shun Kaneshima

$702 Vol.

1%

icon for Masahiro Sueyoshi

Masahiro Sueyoshi

$818 Vol.

1%

icon for Takashi Higa

Takashi Higa

$807 Vol.

1%

icon for Mikio Shimoji

Mikio Shimoji

$908 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chosuke Yara

Chosuke Yara

$702 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Genta Koja leads trader pricing in the Okinawa gubernatorial race ahead of the September 13 vote, reflecting broad backing from Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party and allied groups for the former Naha vice mayor, alongside voter emphasis on economic growth, employment, and price measures over base relocation. Incumbent Denny Tamaki, seeking a third term with support from opposition parties, faces headwinds from a splintered “All Okinawa” coalition and polls showing roughly even support with high undecided shares. Minor candidates remain long shots given the effective two-way contest. Recent campaign developments, including final-week focus on central-government ties and pocketbook priorities, have sustained Koja’s edge in skin-in-the-game consensus while leaving room for last-minute shifts before ballots close.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Volume
$20,864
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Genta Koja leads trader pricing in the Okinawa gubernatorial race ahead of the September 13 vote, reflecting broad backing from Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party and allied groups for the former Naha vice mayor, alongside voter emphasis on economic growth, employment, and price measures over base relocation. Incumbent Denny Tamaki, seeking a third term with support from opposition parties, faces headwinds from a splintered “All Okinawa” coalition and polls showing roughly even support with high undecided shares. Minor candidates remain long shots given the effective two-way contest. Recent campaign developments, including final-week focus on central-government ties and pocketbook priorities, have sustained Koja’s edge in skin-in-the-game consensus while leaving room for last-minute shifts before ballots close.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Volume
$20,864
Data de Término
13 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de Okinawa" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Genta Koja" at 68%, followed by "Denny Tamaki" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Okinawa" has generated $20.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Okinawa," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Okinawa" is "Genta Koja" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denny Tamaki" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de Okinawa" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.