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icon for Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?

icon for Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?
Política·Eleições Nos EUA

Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?

Menos de 45 27%

45-54 25%

65-74 12.3%

75-84 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Menos de 45 27%

45-54 25%

65-74 12.3%

75-84 7%

Polymarket
NOVO

Menos de 45

$165 Vol.

27%

45-54

$426 Vol.

25%

55-64

$184 Vol.

17%

65-74

$108 Vol.

12%

75-84

$112 Vol.

7%

85+

$125 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. The 2028 Democratic presidential field remains wide open ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with trader consensus favoring a nominee under 55 driven by evident demand for generational turnover after successive older presidents. Leading potential contenders include Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff, both in their late 30s, alongside Pete Buttigieg near age 46, whose early polling and market pricing reflect this preference for younger voices. Established figures such as Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, in their early 60s, retain significant support in surveys but face competition in a fragmented primary where no candidate has declared. Post-midterm announcements, shifts in early-state positioning, and primary polling trends could consolidate support around specific age cohorts and widen the current narrow spreads across brackets.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$1,121
Data de Término
31 ago 2028
Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. The 2028 Democratic presidential field remains wide open ahead of the November 2026 midterms, with trader consensus favoring a nominee under 55 driven by evident demand for generational turnover after successive older presidents. Leading potential contenders include Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff, both in their late 30s, alongside Pete Buttigieg near age 46, whose early polling and market pricing reflect this preference for younger voices. Established figures such as Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom, in their early 60s, retain significant support in surveys but face competition in a fragmented primary where no candidate has declared. Post-midterm announcements, shifts in early-state positioning, and primary polling trends could consolidate support around specific age cohorts and widen the current narrow spreads across brackets.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$1,121
Data de Término
31 ago 2028
Mercado Aberto
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Menos de 45" at 27%, followed by "45-54" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 15, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?" is "Menos de 45" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "45-54" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Idade do candidato presidencial democrata de 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.