Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Mike LiPetri in a rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi's established fundraising, name recognition across Nassau County and northeastern Queens, and consistent outperformance of the top of the ticket in prior cycles underpin trader consensus favoring him at 92 percent. Recent Republican efforts, including a Trump-affiliated PAC advertisement criticizing Suozzi's stock trading, have not yet shifted the race rating from lean or likely Democratic in most forecasts. A national Republican wave, sustained outside spending, or late developments on ethics concerns could narrow the margin in this district that Trump carried by under one point in 2024.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$26,567 Vol.
$26,567 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
8%
$26,567 Vol.
$26,567 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Tom Suozzi (D)
$12,642 Vol.
92%
Mike LiPetri (R)
$13,925 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Mike LiPetri in a rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi's established fundraising, name recognition across Nassau County and northeastern Queens, and consistent outperformance of the top of the ticket in prior cycles underpin trader consensus favoring him at 92 percent. Recent Republican efforts, including a Trump-affiliated PAC advertisement criticizing Suozzi's stock trading, have not yet shifted the race rating from lean or likely Democratic in most forecasts. A national Republican wave, sustained outside spending, or late developments on ethics concerns could narrow the margin in this district that Trump carried by under one point in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Volume
$26,567Data de Término
5 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Mike LiPetri in a rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi's established fundraising, name recognition across Nassau County and northeastern Queens, and consistent outperformance of the top of the ticket in prior cycles underpin trader consensus favoring him at 92 percent. Recent Republican efforts, including a Trump-affiliated PAC advertisement criticizing Suozzi's stock trading, have not yet shifted the race rating from lean or likely Democratic in most forecasts. A national Republican wave, sustained outside spending, or late developments on ethics concerns could narrow the margin in this district that Trump carried by under one point in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,567Data de Término
5 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election against Republican Mike LiPetri in a rematch of their 2024 contest. Suozzi's established fundraising, name recognition across Nassau County and northeastern Queens, and consistent outperformance of the top of the ticket in prior cycles underpin trader consensus favoring him at 92 percent. Recent Republican efforts, including a Trump-affiliated PAC advertisement criticizing Suozzi's stock trading, have not yet shifted the race rating from lean or likely Democratic in most forecasts. A national Republican wave, sustained outside spending, or late developments on ethics concerns could narrow the margin in this district that Trump carried by under one point in 2024.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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