Georgia's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of six-term incumbent Barry Loudermilk, with recent forecasts projecting John Cowan to capture roughly 60 percent of the vote. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and Donald Trump's 18.5-point margin there in 2024 underpin trader consensus around Cowan's commanding position after he secured the GOP nomination in a June runoff. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have routinely exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Minor independent candidates on the November 3 ballot are not expected to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa GA-11
Vencedor da eleição da casa GA-11
$53,395 Vol.
$53,395 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Cowan (R)
98%
Chris Harden (D)
2%
$53,395 Vol.
$53,395 Vol.
2 nov 2026
John Cowan (R)
$38,469 Vol.
98%
Chris Harden (D)
$14,926 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of six-term incumbent Barry Loudermilk, with recent forecasts projecting John Cowan to capture roughly 60 percent of the vote. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and Donald Trump's 18.5-point margin there in 2024 underpin trader consensus around Cowan's commanding position after he secured the GOP nomination in a June runoff. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have routinely exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Minor independent candidates on the November 3 ballot are not expected to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$53,395Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of six-term incumbent Barry Loudermilk, with recent forecasts projecting John Cowan to capture roughly 60 percent of the vote. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and Donald Trump's 18.5-point margin there in 2024 underpin trader consensus around Cowan's commanding position after he secured the GOP nomination in a June runoff. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have routinely exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Minor independent candidates on the November 3 ballot are not expected to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$53,395Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of six-term incumbent Barry Loudermilk, with recent forecasts projecting John Cowan to capture roughly 60 percent of the vote. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+12 and Donald Trump's 18.5-point margin there in 2024 underpin trader consensus around Cowan's commanding position after he secured the GOP nomination in a June runoff. Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his May primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have routinely exceeded 65 percent in recent cycles. Minor independent candidates on the November 3 ballot are not expected to alter the outcome. Late developments such as a major scandal, candidate health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still shift probabilities before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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