**Roger Marshall holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in deeply red Kansas, where Democrats have not won a Senate seat since 1932.** His easy August primary victory and consistent backing from party leaders, including recent campaign support from Vice President JD Vance, reinforce trader confidence reflected in the 74.5% consensus. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded Democratic primary with notable early fundraising and a platform focused on agriculture, healthcare costs, and energy, drawing some polling attention and shifting a few forecasts from Safe to Likely Republican. Recent surveys show Marshall ahead by low single digits in a race rated Likely or Lean R by most analysts, but the state's partisan fundamentals and historical margins limit Hamilton's upside despite the contest appearing closer than typical for the seat.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado do Kansas
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado do Kansas
$53,667 Vol.
$53,667 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
74%
Adam Hamilton (D)
26%
$53,667 Vol.
$53,667 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$34,267 Vol.
74%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$19,400 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Roger Marshall holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in deeply red Kansas, where Democrats have not won a Senate seat since 1932.** His easy August primary victory and consistent backing from party leaders, including recent campaign support from Vice President JD Vance, reinforce trader confidence reflected in the 74.5% consensus. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded Democratic primary with notable early fundraising and a platform focused on agriculture, healthcare costs, and energy, drawing some polling attention and shifting a few forecasts from Safe to Likely Republican. Recent surveys show Marshall ahead by low single digits in a race rated Likely or Lean R by most analysts, but the state's partisan fundamentals and historical margins limit Hamilton's upside despite the contest appearing closer than typical for the seat.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$53,667Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Roger Marshall holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in deeply red Kansas, where Democrats have not won a Senate seat since 1932.** His easy August primary victory and consistent backing from party leaders, including recent campaign support from Vice President JD Vance, reinforce trader confidence reflected in the 74.5% consensus. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded Democratic primary with notable early fundraising and a platform focused on agriculture, healthcare costs, and energy, drawing some polling attention and shifting a few forecasts from Safe to Likely Republican. Recent surveys show Marshall ahead by low single digits in a race rated Likely or Lean R by most analysts, but the state's partisan fundamentals and historical margins limit Hamilton's upside despite the contest appearing closer than typical for the seat.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$53,667Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Roger Marshall holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in deeply red Kansas, where Democrats have not won a Senate seat since 1932.** His easy August primary victory and consistent backing from party leaders, including recent campaign support from Vice President JD Vance, reinforce trader confidence reflected in the 74.5% consensus. Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor, emerged from a crowded Democratic primary with notable early fundraising and a platform focused on agriculture, healthcare costs, and energy, drawing some polling attention and shifting a few forecasts from Safe to Likely Republican. Recent surveys show Marshall ahead by low single digits in a race rated Likely or Lean R by most analysts, but the state's partisan fundamentals and historical margins limit Hamilton's upside despite the contest appearing closer than typical for the seat.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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