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icon for Natalie Harp como Assistente Especial do Presidente até 31 de dezembro?
Política·Trump

Natalie Harp como Assistente Especial do Presidente até 31 de dezembro?

icon for Natalie Harp como Assistente Especial do Presidente até 31 de dezembro?
Política·Trump

Natalie Harp como Assistente Especial do Presidente até 31 de dezembro?

Sim

14% chance
Polymarket
NOVO

Sim

14% chance
Polymarket
NOVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump’s sustained reliance on Natalie Harp as special assistant and executive assistant underpins the 86.5% trader consensus against her departure by year-end. Recent reporting confirms her continued daily access to the Oval Office, Marine One travel, and role managing the president’s social media output through September 2026, even after August scrutiny tied to a reported Iran-related evacuation in Turkey and criticism from Sen. Jon Ossoff. White House statements have defended her loyalty and workload without signaling any personnel shift, and no confirmation hearings, resignations, or reassignments have surfaced. Historical patterns of Trump retaining personally trusted aides despite external pressure further align with current positioning, leaving limited near-term catalysts for removal before the December 31 window closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$239
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump’s sustained reliance on Natalie Harp as special assistant and executive assistant underpins the 86.5% trader consensus against her departure by year-end. Recent reporting confirms her continued daily access to the Oval Office, Marine One travel, and role managing the president’s social media output through September 2026, even after August scrutiny tied to a reported Iran-related evacuation in Turkey and criticism from Sen. Jon Ossoff. White House statements have defended her loyalty and workload without signaling any personnel shift, and no confirmation hearings, resignations, or reassignments have surfaced. Historical patterns of Trump retaining personally trusted aides despite external pressure further align with current positioning, leaving limited near-term catalysts for removal before the December 31 window closes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Natalie Harp ceases to be Special Assistant to the President for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Natalie Harp's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If Natalie Harp is detained, effectively removed from her role, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of Special Assistant to the President within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Natalie Harp and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$239
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Aug 21, 2026, 6:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Natalie Harp como Assistente Especial do Presidente até 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Natalie Harp deixará de ser Assistente Especial do Presidente até 31 de dezembro?" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Natalie Harp como Assistente Especial do Presidente até 31 de dezembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Natalie Harp como Assistente Especial do Presidente até 31 de dezembro?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Natalie Harp como Assistente Especial do Presidente até 31 de dezembro?" is "Natalie Harp deixará de ser Assistente Especial do Presidente até 31 de dezembro?" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Natalie Harp como Assistente Especial do Presidente até 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.