Wesley Bell's commanding position in the Missouri 1st congressional district race stems from the seat's strong Democratic lean, encompassing St. Louis and northern suburbs with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 29 points or more. As the incumbent who secured 75.9% in the 2024 general election, Bell consolidated support by defeating former Representative Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary with 59.2% of the vote. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate, advanced with limited resources and name recognition against this backdrop. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's structural advantages and absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap, though a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoMO-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
MO-01 Vencedor da Eleição da Casa
$36,818 Vol.
$36,818 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Wesley Bell (D)
97%
Paul Berry (R)
2%
$36,818 Vol.
$36,818 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Wesley Bell (D)
$22,847 Vol.
97%
Paul Berry (R)
$13,971 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell's commanding position in the Missouri 1st congressional district race stems from the seat's strong Democratic lean, encompassing St. Louis and northern suburbs with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 29 points or more. As the incumbent who secured 75.9% in the 2024 general election, Bell consolidated support by defeating former Representative Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary with 59.2% of the vote. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate, advanced with limited resources and name recognition against this backdrop. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's structural advantages and absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap, though a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$36,818Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell's commanding position in the Missouri 1st congressional district race stems from the seat's strong Democratic lean, encompassing St. Louis and northern suburbs with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 29 points or more. As the incumbent who secured 75.9% in the 2024 general election, Bell consolidated support by defeating former Representative Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary with 59.2% of the vote. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate, advanced with limited resources and name recognition against this backdrop. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's structural advantages and absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap, though a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,818Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell's commanding position in the Missouri 1st congressional district race stems from the seat's strong Democratic lean, encompassing St. Louis and northern suburbs with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats by roughly 29 points or more. As the incumbent who secured 75.9% in the 2024 general election, Bell consolidated support by defeating former Representative Cori Bush in the August 2026 Democratic primary with 59.2% of the vote. Republican nominee Paul Berry, a perennial candidate, advanced with limited resources and name recognition against this backdrop. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the district's structural advantages and absence of recent developments that would narrow the gap, though a late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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