Republican-led redistricting of Louisiana's 6th congressional district, completed after the Supreme Court's April 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, fundamentally altered the seat's composition by reducing its prior majority-Black configuration and shifting it toward Republican-leaning demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving a crowded field dominated by Republican state legislators and other GOP candidates ahead of the November 3 all-party primary. This structural change, combined with consistent nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat a safe or solid Republican flip, underpins the market's strong Republican consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late legal reversals of the map, unusually high Democratic turnout, or major candidate-specific developments in the final weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLA-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
LA-06 Vencedor da eleição da Câmara
$69,262 Vol.
$69,262 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Democrata
7%
$69,262 Vol.
$69,262 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$39,134 Vol.
93%
Partido Democrata
$30,128 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican-led redistricting of Louisiana's 6th congressional district, completed after the Supreme Court's April 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, fundamentally altered the seat's composition by reducing its prior majority-Black configuration and shifting it toward Republican-leaning demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving a crowded field dominated by Republican state legislators and other GOP candidates ahead of the November 3 all-party primary. This structural change, combined with consistent nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat a safe or solid Republican flip, underpins the market's strong Republican consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late legal reversals of the map, unusually high Democratic turnout, or major candidate-specific developments in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$69,262Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican-led redistricting of Louisiana's 6th congressional district, completed after the Supreme Court's April 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, fundamentally altered the seat's composition by reducing its prior majority-Black configuration and shifting it toward Republican-leaning demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving a crowded field dominated by Republican state legislators and other GOP candidates ahead of the November 3 all-party primary. This structural change, combined with consistent nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat a safe or solid Republican flip, underpins the market's strong Republican consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late legal reversals of the map, unusually high Democratic turnout, or major candidate-specific developments in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$69,262Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican-led redistricting of Louisiana's 6th congressional district, completed after the Supreme Court's April 2026 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais, fundamentally altered the seat's composition by reducing its prior majority-Black configuration and shifting it toward Republican-leaning demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields opted not to seek reelection under the new lines, leaving a crowded field dominated by Republican state legislators and other GOP candidates ahead of the November 3 all-party primary. This structural change, combined with consistent nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat a safe or solid Republican flip, underpins the market's strong Republican consensus. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include late legal reversals of the map, unusually high Democratic turnout, or major candidate-specific developments in the final weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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