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icon for MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026
Desporto·Basebol

MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026

icon for MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026
Desporto·Basebol

MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026

Pete Crow-Armstrong 93%

Chris Sale 26%

Dylan Cease 25.4%

Cristopher Sánchez 5.8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Pete Crow-Armstrong 93%

Chris Sale 26%

Dylan Cease 25.4%

Cristopher Sánchez 5.8%

Polymarket
NOVO

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$269 Vol.

93%

Chris Sale

$75 Vol.

26%

Dylan Cease

$86 Vol.

25%

Cristopher Sánchez

$19 Vol.

6%

Cam Schlittler

$86 Vol.

5%

Dillon Dingler

$86 Vol.

5%

Jacob Misiorowski

$86 Vol.

3%

Yordan Alvarez

$175 Vol.

3%

Shohei Ohtani

$159 Vol.

3%

Bobby Witt Jr.

$78 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong’s commanding 93% implied probability reflects his league-leading fWAR pace near 9.0, driven by elite center-field defense, 36 stolen bases, 41 home runs, and a .281/.375/.572 slash line through 146 games. The Cubs outfielder’s combination of power, speed, durability, and Gold Glove-caliber play in a premium position has created separation from position-player peers like Bobby Witt Jr. and Yordan Alvarez while outpacing pitchers such as Chris Sale and Cristopher Sánchez. Trader consensus views the gap as difficult to close in the final weeks, though a late injury, prolonged slump, or unexpected surge from a two-way contributor like Shohei Ohtani could still narrow the margin before season’s end.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,119
Data de Término
27 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pete Crow-Armstrong’s commanding 93% implied probability reflects his league-leading fWAR pace near 9.0, driven by elite center-field defense, 36 stolen bases, 41 home runs, and a .281/.375/.572 slash line through 146 games. The Cubs outfielder’s combination of power, speed, durability, and Gold Glove-caliber play in a premium position has created separation from position-player peers like Bobby Witt Jr. and Yordan Alvarez while outpacing pitchers such as Chris Sale and Cristopher Sánchez. Trader consensus views the gap as difficult to close in the final weeks, though a late injury, prolonged slump, or unexpected surge from a two-way contributor like Shohei Ohtani could still narrow the margin before season’s end.

This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR).

In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve in favor of the player who finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the highest Wins Above Replacement (WAR), as calculated by FanGraphs (fWAR). In the event that two or more players are tied for the highest fWAR, this market will resolve to the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to finish with the highest fWAR, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, shortened, or no fWAR leader is determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be FanGraphs (https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,119
Data de Término
27 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/war

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 93%, followed by "Chris Sale" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026" is "Pete Crow-Armstrong" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chris Sale" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Líder de GUERRA de 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.