Kyle Schwarber's commanding lead in the 2026 MLB home run race underpins his 75.5% implied probability in this market. Entering mid-September with 43 or 44 long balls—well ahead of Pete Crow-Armstrong at 41 and others in the mid-to-high 30s—Schwarber has maintained elite power output as the Phillies' primary designated hitter. His recent grand slam on September 9 further extended the margin during a stretch of strong plate appearances. With roughly 20 games left, the gap limits realistic catch-up paths for Junior Caminero, Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, and the broader field, though late surges or injury risks could still shift outcomes in a shortened schedule. Trader consensus reflects this established advantage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKyle Schwarber 76%
Junior Caminero 3.7%
Matt Olson 3.5%
Yordan Alvarez <1%
$3,183,130 Vol.
$3,183,130 Vol.
10 out 2026
Kyle Schwarber
76%
Junior Caminero
4%
Matt Olson
4%
Yordan Alvarez
1%
Munetaka Murakami
1%
Ben Rice
1%
James Wood
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 76%
Junior Caminero 3.7%
Matt Olson 3.5%
Yordan Alvarez <1%
$3,183,130 Vol.
$3,183,130 Vol.
10 out 2026
Kyle Schwarber
$41,658 Vol.
76%
Junior Caminero
$5,270 Vol.
4%
Matt Olson
$5,289 Vol.
4%
Yordan Alvarez
$14,904 Vol.
1%
Munetaka Murakami
$9,471 Vol.
1%
Ben Rice
$3,492 Vol.
1%
James Wood
$9,454 Vol.
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
$2,854 Vol.
<1%
Mike Trout
$1,749,560 Vol.
<1%
Brandon Lowe
$470,930 Vol.
<1%
CJ Abrams
$205,910 Vol.
<1%
Juan Soto
$649,298 Vol.
<1%
Aaron Judge
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
$922 Vol.
<1%
Nick Kurtz
$1,516 Vol.
<1%
George Springer
$535 Vol.
<1%
Shea Langeliers
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
Cal Raleigh
$772 Vol.
<1%
Pete Alonso
$476 Vol.
<1%
Rafael Devers
$659 Vol.
<1%
Giancarlo Stanton
$664 Vol.
<1%
Manny Machado
$547 Vol.
<1%
Jordan Walker
$734 Vol.
<1%
Sal Stewart
$827 Vol.
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
$1,370 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's commanding lead in the 2026 MLB home run race underpins his 75.5% implied probability in this market. Entering mid-September with 43 or 44 long balls—well ahead of Pete Crow-Armstrong at 41 and others in the mid-to-high 30s—Schwarber has maintained elite power output as the Phillies' primary designated hitter. His recent grand slam on September 9 further extended the margin during a stretch of strong plate appearances. With roughly 20 games left, the gap limits realistic catch-up paths for Junior Caminero, Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, and the broader field, though late surges or injury risks could still shift outcomes in a shortened schedule. Trader consensus reflects this established advantage.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Volume
$3,183,130Data de Término
28 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kyle Schwarber's commanding lead in the 2026 MLB home run race underpins his 75.5% implied probability in this market. Entering mid-September with 43 or 44 long balls—well ahead of Pete Crow-Armstrong at 41 and others in the mid-to-high 30s—Schwarber has maintained elite power output as the Phillies' primary designated hitter. His recent grand slam on September 9 further extended the margin during a stretch of strong plate appearances. With roughly 20 games left, the gap limits realistic catch-up paths for Junior Caminero, Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, and the broader field, though late surges or injury risks could still shift outcomes in a shortened schedule. Trader consensus reflects this established advantage.
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,183,130Data de Término
28 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber's commanding lead in the 2026 MLB home run race underpins his 75.5% implied probability in this market. Entering mid-September with 43 or 44 long balls—well ahead of Pete Crow-Armstrong at 41 and others in the mid-to-high 30s—Schwarber has maintained elite power output as the Phillies' primary designated hitter. His recent grand slam on September 9 further extended the margin during a stretch of strong plate appearances. With roughly 20 games left, the gap limits realistic catch-up paths for Junior Caminero, Matt Olson, Yordan Alvarez, and the broader field, though late surges or injury risks could still shift outcomes in a shortened schedule. Trader consensus reflects this established advantage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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