Recent polling shows a tight US Senate contest in Minnesota between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest lead among likely voters following August primaries. This competitiveness, combined with historical midterm turnout patterns around 60 percent in the state, sustains trader uncertainty across the provided vote-total buckets. Democratic enthusiasm edges appear stronger in surveys, supporting higher-turnout scenarios, while base mobilization gaps, early voting trends, and typical off-year participation rates keep lower ranges in play. Nationalized dynamics and get-out-the-vote efforts through November could still shift totals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado de Minnesota: comparecimento às urnas
Eleição para o Senado de Minnesota: comparecimento às urnas
3,05M+ 41%
2,75M-2,9M 37%
2,9M-3,05M 37%
<2M 35%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<2M
35%
2M-2,15M
26%
2,15M-2,3M
34%
2,3M-2,45M
32%
2,45M-2,6M
33%
2,6M-2,75M
31%
2,75M-2,9M
37%
2,9M-3,05M
37%
3,05M+
41%
3,05M+ 41%
2,75M-2,9M 37%
2,9M-3,05M 37%
<2M 35%
NOVO
NOVO
3 nov 2026
<2M
$25 Vol.
35%
2M-2,15M
$25 Vol.
26%
2,15M-2,3M
$25 Vol.
34%
2,3M-2,45M
$25 Vol.
32%
2,45M-2,6M
$25 Vol.
33%
2,6M-2,75M
$25 Vol.
31%
2,75M-2,9M
$28 Vol.
37%
2,9M-3,05M
$25 Vol.
37%
3,05M+
$25 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows a tight US Senate contest in Minnesota between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest lead among likely voters following August primaries. This competitiveness, combined with historical midterm turnout patterns around 60 percent in the state, sustains trader uncertainty across the provided vote-total buckets. Democratic enthusiasm edges appear stronger in surveys, supporting higher-turnout scenarios, while base mobilization gaps, early voting trends, and typical off-year participation rates keep lower ranges in play. Nationalized dynamics and get-out-the-vote efforts through November could still shift totals.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$229Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows a tight US Senate contest in Minnesota between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest lead among likely voters following August primaries. This competitiveness, combined with historical midterm turnout patterns around 60 percent in the state, sustains trader uncertainty across the provided vote-total buckets. Democratic enthusiasm edges appear stronger in surveys, supporting higher-turnout scenarios, while base mobilization gaps, early voting trends, and typical off-year participation rates keep lower ranges in play. Nationalized dynamics and get-out-the-vote efforts through November could still shift totals.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Minnesota, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$229Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a tight US Senate contest in Minnesota between Democrat Peggy Flanagan and Republican Michele Tafoya, with the Democratic nominee holding a modest lead among likely voters following August primaries. This competitiveness, combined with historical midterm turnout patterns around 60 percent in the state, sustains trader uncertainty across the provided vote-total buckets. Democratic enthusiasm edges appear stronger in surveys, supporting higher-turnout scenarios, while base mobilization gaps, early voting trends, and typical off-year participation rates keep lower ranges in play. Nationalized dynamics and get-out-the-vote efforts through November could still shift totals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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