Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas
Política·Comparecimento

Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas

icon for Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas
Política·Comparecimento

Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas

1,2M-1,3M 36%

1,3M-1,4M 14.1%

1,7M+ 11.4%

1,4M-1,5M 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

1,2M-1,3M 36%

1,3M-1,4M 14.1%

1,7M+ 11.4%

1,4M-1,5M 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

<1,1M

$95 Vol.

7%

1,1M-1,2M

$876 Vol.

1%

1,2M-1,3M

$95 Vol.

36%

1,3M-1,4M

$115 Vol.

14%

1,4M-1,5M

$160 Vol.

10%

1,5M-1,6M

$1,204 Vol.

4%

1,6M-1,7M

$264 Vol.

4%

1,7M+

$160 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana’s November 3 Senate general election between Republican Julia Letlow and Democrat Jamie Davis occurs in a low-competition environment following the candidate’s decisive primary victories and the state’s strong Republican lean. Historical midterm turnout in Louisiana has averaged near 42 percent of registered voters, producing roughly 1.2–1.3 million ballots in comparable cycles, which aligns with the current market’s leading range. Recent party primaries and runoffs showed depressed participation—28 percent in May and 17 percent in June—partly due to the new semi-closed primary rules and limited Democratic mobilization. With no presidential contest on the ballot and the outcome widely viewed as a safe Republican hold, traders appear to price in subdued general-election engagement typical of off-year Senate races in the state, tempered by baseline registered-voter totals near three million.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,968
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Louisiana’s November 3 Senate general election between Republican Julia Letlow and Democrat Jamie Davis occurs in a low-competition environment following the candidate’s decisive primary victories and the state’s strong Republican lean. Historical midterm turnout in Louisiana has averaged near 42 percent of registered voters, producing roughly 1.2–1.3 million ballots in comparable cycles, which aligns with the current market’s leading range. Recent party primaries and runoffs showed depressed participation—28 percent in May and 17 percent in June—partly due to the new semi-closed primary rules and limited Democratic mobilization. With no presidential contest on the ballot and the outcome widely viewed as a safe Republican hold, traders appear to price in subdued general-election engagement typical of off-year Senate races in the state, tempered by baseline registered-voter totals near three million.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,968
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 18, 2026, 10:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador do Texas será entre 9.200.000 e 9.600.000?

O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador do Texas será entre 9.200.000 e 9.600.000?

28%
Sim
icon for O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador do Arkansas será entre 900.000 e 975.000?

O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador do Arkansas será entre 900.000 e 975.000?

41%
Sim
icon for O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador do Alabama ficará entre 1.700.000 e 1.800.000?

O total de votos na eleição de meio de mandato de 2026 para Senador do Alabama ficará entre 1.700.000 e 1.800.000?

28%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1,2M-1,3M" at 36%, followed by "1,3M-1,4M" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas" is "1,2M-1,3M" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1,3M-1,4M" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado da Louisiana: comparecimento às urnas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.